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Association between movement behavior patterns and cardiovascular risk among Chinese adults aged 40–75: a sex-specific latent class analysis
BMC Public Health volume 24, Article number: 1170 (2024)
Abstract
Background
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major global health threat, particularly in China, contributing to over 40% of deaths. While sleep behaviors, sedentary behaviors, and physical activities are recognized as independent lifestyle risk factors for CVD, there remains limited understanding of specific movement behavior patterns and their CVD risks, especially considering sex-specific differences. This study examines movement behavior patterns among Chinese adults (40–75) and their associations with cardiovascular risk, with a focus on sleep, physical activity (PA), and sedentary behavior (SB).
Methods
Data pertaining to 13,465 male participants and 15,613 female participants, collected from the Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance Survey in Nanjing from February 2020 to December 2022. The latent class analysis method was employed to identify underlying movement patterns across sexes. Multinomial logistic regression models assessed CVD risk, and the China-PAR model calculated 10-year risk.
Results
Three male and four female movement patterns emerged. Active Movers (17.10% males, 5.93% females) adhered to PA recommendations but had poorer sleep quality. Moderate Achievers (61.42% males, 45.32% females) demonstrated moderate behavior. Sedentary Sleepers (21.48% males, 10.20% females) exhibited minimal PA but good sleep. Female Moderate Physical Activity (MPA) Dominant Movers demonstrated a prevalent adherence to recommended MPA levels. Active movers had the lowest CVD risk. After adjusting for potential confounders, moderate achievers (OR = 1.462, 95% CI 1.212, 1.764) and sedentary sleepers (OR = 1.504, 95% CI 1.211, 1.868) were both identified as being associated with a high-risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) compared to active movers in males, demonstrating a similar trend for intermediate risk. Such associations were not statistically significant among females.
Conclusions
Our study revealed sex-specific movement patterns associated with CVD risks among middle-aged Chinese adults. We suggest that adopting an active movement behavior pattern, characterized by meeting or exceeding recommended levels of vigorous physical activity (VPA) and reducing sedentary behavior, is beneficial for all middle-aged adults, particularly males. An active lifestyle could help counteract the adverse effects of relatively poor sleep quality on the risk of developing CVD in this population. Integrating sleep, PA, and SB information provides a holistic framework for understanding and mitigating CVD risks.
Introduction
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) poses a substantial global health threat, contributing significantly to mortality rates, with over 40% of deaths in China attributed to its prevalence [1]. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), primarily comprising ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke, has witnessed a noteworthy increase in mortality in recent decades [2]. In 2019, the prevalence of CVD in China was 120 million, representing a 140.02% increase since 1990 [3]. Mortality rates and the number of deaths related to ASCVD were notably higher among males compared to females in all stroke subcategories [4]. The escalating challenge of preventing and treating these conditions underscores the urgency for effective interventions [2].
Lifestyle intervention is crucial for preventing cardiovascular diseases, with sleep and physical activity (PA) ranking just below smoking as the most significant modifiable lifestyle factors, particularly in the middle-aged population [5]. Previous research suggests that maintaining a balanced moderate physical activity (MPA) and vigorous physical activity (VPA) reduce CVD mortality risk, while surpassing recommended levels (MPA ≥ 150 min per week or VPA ≥ 75 min per week) enhances the protective effect [6]. Conversely, sleep duration less than 6 h per day and sedentary duration more than 10 h are linked to higher CVD risk [7, 8]. Moreover, in terms of cardiovascular health, sleep, PA and sedentary behavior (SB) are closely intertwined [2, 9]. Poorer sleep quality and increased sedentary time have been linked to heightened CVD risk [10,11,12], particularly when combined with other modifiable risk factors such as smoking and excessive alcohol consumption, which may further elevate the risk of stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD) [13, 14]. Despite these findings, there is limited knowledge regarding the subgroup of underlying behavior patterns that allocate time to these different activities and their specific risk for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Furthermore, it is noteworthy that males and females may exhibit distinctly different behavior patterns, both in the behaviors themselves and in the resulting cardiovascular outcomes [15, 16].
Latent Class Analysis (LCA), acknowledged as a ‘person-oriented analysis,’ proficiently captures the synergistic effects of multiple factors [17]. This analytical approach categorizes observed variables using an unobserved latent categorical variable, effectively minimizing confounding. The identification of qualitatively distinguishable subgroups provides a nuanced understanding, valuable for examining treatment and prevention effects [18].
Given the importance of cardiovascular risk assessment, particularly in adults aged 40 to 75 suggested by ACC/AHA Guideline [9], our aim is to conduct analysis within this population and stratify it by sex. Our objectives were threefold: (1) identify qualitatively distinguishable movement patterns based on PA, SB, and sleep in Chinese adults aged 40–75; (2) explore the associations between the identified patterns and cardiovascular risk; and (3) assess whether these associations are consistent across male and female subsamples.
Methods
Study population
The population was comprised of participants from a survey of Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in Nanjing, the capital of Jiangsu Province in China, which was conducted from February 2020 to December 2022. The study recruited subjects from 35 towns through a multi-stage sampling approach combining probability-proportional-to-size sampling and random sampling. The general information (i.e., residence, age, sex, educational level, and marital status, etc.) was collected through a standardized questionnaire validated based on the China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance [19]. The response rate was 90.6%.
Participants were eligible if they: (a) had lived in Nanjing for at least one and a half years; (b)were willing to comply with the study protocol; (c) were between 40 and 75 years old. A total of 31,647 individuals were recruited for participation. Exclusions included 61 participants with incomplete data for calculating 10-Year ASCVD Risk, 2,050 participants with pre-existing CVDs, and 458 with cancer or other severe comorbidities. Finally, 13,465 male participants and 15,613 female participants were enrolled in this study.
Measures of movement behaviors
The long version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ) was utilized to gather information on accumulated Moderate Physical Activity (MPA) and Vigorous Physical Activity (VPA) per week. Physical activities encompassed all tasks related to employment or schooling, as well as transportation, household chores or maintenance, and recreational, sports, or leisure-time activities [20]. Following the recommendations for Exercise and Physical Activity refers to ASCVD risk [2, 9], MPA was classified into three levels: No MPA, Low MPA(< 150 min/week), and Optimal MPA(≥ 150 min/week). Similarly, VPA was categorized into three levels: No VPA, Low VPA(< 75 min/week), and Optimal VPA(≥ 75 min/week). SB was added by (1) average amount of time spent sitting, reclining, or lying down watching TV per day; (2) average amount of time spent sitting, reclining, or lying down using computer per day; (3) average amount of time spent sitting, reclining, or lying down using phone per day; and (4) average amount of time spent sitting, reclining, or lying down reading print products per day. Sleep quality was assessed by the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI). PSQI consists of 19 self-reported items, encompassing seven aspects of sleep problems. The sum of scores across the seven components yields the global PSQI score (ranging from 0 to 21). A higher total PSQI score indicates poorer sleep quality [21]. Participants were classified into quartiles for sedentary behavior and sleep quality within male and female samples.
Cardiovascular health assessment
We employed the China-PAR risk assessment model to predict the 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) within the Chinese population. Detailed information on the model has been elucidated elsewhere [22]. This comprehensive model incorporates several key factors, including gender, age, place of residence (urban or rural), regional location (north or south, demarcated by the Yangtze River), waist circumference (WC), total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), current blood pressure, usage of antihypertensive medication, diabetes status, current smoking habits, and family history of CVD.
The risk of CVD is stratified into three categories: “low” for estimated 10-year risk less than 5%, “intermediate” for estimated 10-year risk ranging between 5% and 9.9%, and “high” for estimated 10-year risk exceeding 10% [22].
Definitions of other involved variables
The demographic data and anthropometric measures, including weight, height, WC, and blood pressure, were measured by anthropometric investigators using unified brands and models instruments. Systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were measured with the patient in the sitting position two times before and after a 10-minute rest, using a digital sphygmomanometer (OMRON HBP 1300, OMRON Co., Ltd., China). The body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight in kg divided by height in m2.
After 10-hour overnight fasting, 5 mL venous blood sample was drawn into the tube with coagulant by a research nurse following standard operating procedures, and then transported via the cold chain within 24 h for laboratory tests. Serum fasting blood glucose (FBG), glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), TC, TG, HDL-C,and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) were measured in the automatic Cobas® 6000 analyzer (Roche Diagnostics GmbH, Ibaraki-ken, Japan).
Smoking was divided into never smoker, former smoker, and current smoker. Drinking alcohol more than once per month over the past 12 months prior to the interview was defined as current drinking.
Statistical analysis
The Kruskal-Walli’s test and Chi-squared test were performed to examine the differences between identified classes.
We used LCA (R poLCA packages, version 1.6.0.1) to assign all patients to non-overlapping clusters in a data-driven fashion [17]. Following practitioner’s guides [23, 24], the optimal number of latent classes was determined through a meticulous evaluation, considering key statistical metrics. Specifically, we employed Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), sample size adjusted BIC (SABIC), and log-likelihood ratio test, where smaller values were deemed more favorable. Additionally, we assessed the entropy for classification quality, aiming for values within the range of 0 to 1, with higher values, preferably exceeding 0.6, indicating a satisfactory classification performance. This comprehensive approach provided a quantitative basis for selecting the number of latent classes, ensuring the avoidance of overfitting or underfitting in our analysis.
The impact of different movement patterns on the intermediate and high-risk of CVDs was analyzed through multinomial logistic regression. Model 1 remained unadjusted, while Model 2 was adjusted for educational level, drinking status, and tea consumption frequency. Given that age, blood pressure, smoking status, and other factors have been included in the calculation of the 10-year ASCVD risk, and considering that age closely correlates with patterns of physical activity, sedentary behavior, and sleep and CVD risk, Model 3 was further adjusted for age. In the models for movement behaviors and 10-Year ASCVD Risk, the movement pattern with the lowest impact on the outcome was chosen as the reference.
Data management and all statistical analyses were carried out using R version 4.2.0 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, http://www.cran.r-project.org/). Analysis results were considered statistically significant at the two-sided 5% level.
Results
Characteristics of participants by sex
Among the 29,078 participants (comprising 46.31% men), the average age was 56.41 years for men and 56.25 years for women. Notably, males presented a higher proportion of individuals with higher education compared to females. Additionally, males exhibited a predilection for smoking, alcohol consumption, and frequent tea intake. Furthermore, they displayed elevated SBP and DBP. Detailed information is provided in Table 1. Male also exhibited higher CVD risk than female, both in intermediate risk (33.87% vs. 22.92%) and in high risk (14.14% vs. 7.53%). 6.6% and 38.3% of females met the recommendations for VPA and MPA respectively, while 18.2% and 20.7% of males met the recommendations for VPA and MPA. Supplementary Fig. 1 demonstrates the distribution of movement characteristics by sex.
Characteristics of identified movement behavior patterns
Fit indices, including BIC, SABIC, entropy, and log-likelihood ratio test, were employed to assess the model fit across six latent profile models within a final sample size of 13,465 male participants and 15,613 female participants. Evaluation of the fit indices indicated that, for male participants, the optimal solution was the 3-class model, while for female participants, the 4-class model demonstrated the best fit. Further details regarding model selection statistics can be found in Supplementary Figs. 2 and 3.
For convenient reference, each class is identified by its lead or key behavioral trait, representing one or two conditions with the highest or lowest cluster-specific conditional probability, respectively. Three movement classes for males and four for females were identified, with male classes 1 to 3 sharing similar characteristics with female classes 1 to 3. According to the China-PAR risk assessment model, the predicted number of participants allocated to different classes at high risk for CVD over the next 10 years were as follows: 201 (8.73%), 1,272 (15.38%), and 431 (14.90%) for men, and 51 (5.36%), 559 (7.90%), 145 (9.11%), and 421 (6.99%) for women. Further details regarding risk across latent classes can be found in Supplementary Table 1. The results of the conditional probability distribution for each item of each sex are illustrated in Figs. 1 and 2.
In movement class 1, comprising 17.10% of male participants and 5.93% of female participants (named “Active Movers”), both sexes showcased optimal adherence to physical activity recommendations, with 92% and 79% exceeding 75 min of VPA, respectively. They exhibited the lowest sedentary behavior time (7% for males and 13% for females in quartile 4), yet showed relatively poor sleep quality, with the highest proportion in quartile 4 of the PSQI score (19% for males and 18% for females).
Male movement class 2 (61.42% of males, named “Moderate Achievers”) had 27% achieving MPA > 150 min, with 18% and 27% in quartile 4 of the PSQI score and sedentary time, respectively. Similarly, female movement class 2 (45.32% of females) exhibited comparable traits, with 18% achieving MPA > 150 min, and 14% and 27% in quartile 4 of the PSQI score and sedentary time, respectively.
Movement class 3, named “Sedentary Sleepers,” represented 21.48% of males and 10.20% of females. This class was characterized by minimal physical activity, with the highest proportion in quartile 4 of sedentary time (30% for males, 42% for females) and the lowest in quartile 4 of the PSQI score (10% for males, 0.1% for females).
Female class 4 was named the “MPA Dominant Movers”, with 87% of participants achieving MPA > 150 min.
The characteristics of classified participants were given in Tables 2 and 3. There were evident differences in education status, tea consumption frequency, fasting blood glucose, and family history of CVD in both sexes.
Relationship between movement patterns and CVD risk
The associations between the latent class groups and CVD risk are presented in Table 4. In the male sample, moderate achievers exhibited the strongest association with both high 10-year ASCVD risk, with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.194 (95% CI: 1.868, 2.576), and intermediate 10-year ASCVD risk, with an OR of 1.507 (95% CI: 1.359, 1.671), compared to active movers. Sedentary sleepers also showed a positive association with both high 10-year ASCVD risk, with an OR of 2.026 (95% CI: 1.688, 2.431), and intermediate 10-year ASCVD risk, with an OR of 1.379 (95% CI: 1.220, 1.558), compared to active movers.
In the female sample, moderate achievers (OR = 1.541; 95% CI: 1.144–2.075), sedentary sleepers (OR = 1.844; 95% CI: 1.322–2.573), and MPA Dominant movers (OR = 1.375; 95% CI: 1.017–1.858) were associated with an increased high 10-year ASCVD risk but not the intermediate risk compared to active movers. All associations with CVDs became stronger after adjustment for potential confounders, including educational level, drinking status, and tea consumption frequency in Model 2.
All associations with CVDs become stronger after adjusted to potential confounders, educational level, drinking status, and tea consumption frequency in model 2. After further adjustment for age (model 3), such association disappeared in female sample but persisted in the male sample. Sedentary sleepers had the strongest association with both high 10-year ASCVD risk, with an OR of 1.504 (95% CI: 1.211, 1.868), and intermediate 10-year ASCVD risk, with an OR of 1.225 (95% CI: 1.060, 1.415), compared to active movers. Moderate achievers exhibited an OR of 1.462 (95% CI: 1.212, 1.764) associated with high 10-year ASCVD risk and an OR of 1.203 (95% CI: 1.066, 1.357) associated with intermediate 10-year ASCVD risk compared to active movers.
Discussion
Summary of findings
This study provides further evidence of the existence of movement patterns by sex. Beyond this, we provide new evidence on their clinical relevance, demonstrating that movement patterns are associated with differential risk for CVD among different sexes aged 40–75. We classified movement patterns into three latent classes for male (active movers, moderate achievers, and sedentary sleepers) and four latent classes, one unique for female (active movers, moderate achievers, sedentary sleepers, and MPA dominant mover). Active movers exhibited lowest CVD risk, while moderate achievers and sedentary sleepers exhibited differentially elevated CVD risk in different sexes. To the best of our knowledge, this study is among the first to investigate associations between CVDs and movement patterns (sleep, PA, and SB) using a person-oriented analysis method with representative data.
Movement behavior patterns
Over the past decade, a global surge in sedentary lifestyles has led to adverse health impacts, including heightened all-cause mortality and cardiovascular diseases [25, 26]. The full 24-h cycle comprises four main movement behaviors: sleep, sedentary behavior (SB), light-intensity physical activity (LPA), and MVPA [9]. Previous evidence suggested that altering daily movement behavior compositions to incorporate more MVPA while reducing any other movement behavior, could help to improve cardiometabolic health in middle adulthood [27]. Active movers, characterized by high VPA and MPA but lower sleep quality, exhibited the lowest CVD risk. Consistent with prior research, higher PA or recommended moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) mitigated the detrimental effects of short or long sleep duration on CVD mortality risks [28]. Moderate Achievers, constituting a significant proportion of the underlying patterns, demonstrated that while sleep quality remained unchanged or slightly improved, a substantial decrease in physical activity may contribute to an increased risk of serious CVD [12]. Sedentary Sleepers, characterized by extremely low physical activity and prolonged sedentary time, exhibited a high CVD risk. Our study builds upon previous findings and expands the understanding of associations between cardiovascular health and movement patterns across three dimensions [9]. This surpasses conventional focuses on individual or dual dimensions. Besides, several studies to date offer convincing evidence that similar inactive movement patterns are associated with a higher likelihood of obesity and worse cardio-metabolic health markers [29, 30].
Sex differences
Ample evidence indicates that due to various societal factors, such as working duty and income disparities, women have been shown to experience a higher prevalence of all types of sleep disturbances compared to men [31], and women tend to exhibit different PA behaviors compared to men, influenced by factors such as external motives related to body image and appearance [32]. Previous study in Japanese adults has found that each 60 min unit of SB replaced with MPA or VPA was favorably associated with better sleep quality only among middle-aged women [33]. In this study, the constitution of underlying pattern differed across sexes. Notably, the proportion of active movers differed significantly between genders, with 17.01% of males compared to 5.93% of females falling into this category. This disparity exceeds previous findings reported in the Canadian population [34]. Male moderate achievers exhibited poorer sleep quality, contributing to a notably higher risk of CVDs compared to their female counterparts. Additionally, female sedentary sleepers displayed prolonged sedentary behavior and lower levels of physical activity, associated with an elevated risk of CVDs. These findings align with prior research indicating that sedentary behaviors may have more adverse health effects in females than males [34].
Implications
Despite variations in included variables across studies in the context of CVD health, Sitting time has been associated with CVD mortality outcomes, showing a nearly dose-response relationship, particularly notable in individuals with low PA levels (reporting less than 150 min of MVPA per week) [35]. The introduction of the sleep quality dimension in our study addresses a key limitation by moving beyond the isolation of health impacts attributed to one or two movement behaviors. Furthermore, our approach integrates data and consensus to better elucidate the heterogeneity within a large sample of individuals of a specific age group, who are recommended to undergo routine assessments for traditional CVD risk factors [9]. A unique aspect of our study, building upon prior research in this field, involves the consideration of the lowest end of the intensity continuum. Specifically, our findings highlight that sedentary sleepers in male, characterized by extremely low physical activity and high sedentary behavior, exhibit a correlation with elevated cardiovascular diseases. This marks a progression beyond the scope of previous studies on sedentary behavior and cardiovascular diseases [10]. For individuals accustomed to a sedentary sleep pattern, initiating physical activities at low intensity for short durations and gradually increasing is recommended [2].Lastly, those accustomed to a moderate achiever pattern should consistently and incrementally increase their activity levels according to their abilities to minimize the risk of cardiovascular diseases.
Limitations
This study has limitations. Firstly, at this stage, we refrain from attributing distinct patterns to varied CVD etiologies, acknowledging that our grouping may not optimally represent underlying movement patterns. Additionally, the cross-sectional nature of our study precludes making causal inferences from the results. The potential for patients to transition between classes should be explored in future investigations.
Furthermore, questionnaire surveys, including the International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ) and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), were utilized to gather information on physical activity and sleep quality, which may potentially lead to recall bias. Both questionnaires have been previously validated in the Chinese population [36, 37].
Moreover, emerging research and guidelines suggest that light-intensity physical activity, as a component of the 24-hour cycle, may play a crucial role in promoting health [9, 38]. However, the quantification of light-intensity physical activity in our study was challenging due to the lack of an objective measure.
Lastly, our research focused on middle-aged Chinese adults, a population routinely recommended for cardiovascular disease risk evaluation. The applicability of our strategy to individuals of other ethnicities and younger age groups needs thorough assessment in future prospective studies.
Conclusions
In conclusion, our study reveals distinct movement patterns associated with specific CVD risks among middle-aged adults, emphasizing the importance of sex-specific considerations. Comprehensive health education and targeted interventions are crucial for individuals with high-risk movement patterns. Active movement behavior pattern is recommended for all middle-aged adults, particularly males. The integration of information across sleep, PA, and SB dimensions surpasses the insights derived from a singular perspective, providing a holistic framework for personalized prevention and intervention in the context of cardiovascular and other chronic diseases. In addition, we recommend further exploration of advanced methodologies, including LCA and other artificial intelligence techniques, to enhance resolution and predictive power in future research.
Data availability
The datasetsare available from The Nanjing Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance (NCDRFS), but restrictions apply to the availability of these data, which were used under licence for the current study and so are not publicly available. The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Abbreviations
- CVD:
-
Cardiovascular Disease
- ASCVD:
-
Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease
- PA:
-
Physical Activity
- SB:
-
Sedentary Behavior
- MPA:
-
Moderate Physical Activity
- VPA:
-
Vigorous Physical Activity
- MVPA:
-
Moderate To Vigorous Physical Activity
- CVDs:
-
Cardiovascular Diseases
- LCA:
-
Latent Class Analysis
- IPAQ:
-
International Physical Activity Questionnaire
- PSQI:
-
Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index
- WC:
-
Waist Circumference
- TC:
-
Total Cholesterol
- HDL-C:
-
High Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol
- SBP:
-
Systolic Blood Pressure
- DBP:
-
Diastolic Blood Pressure
- BMI:
-
Body Mass Index
- FBG:
-
Serum Fasting Blood Glucose
- HbA1c:
-
Glycated Hemoglobin
- LDL-C:
-
Low Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol
- BIC:
-
Bayesian Information Criteria
- SABIC:
-
Sample Size Adjusted BIC
- OR:
-
Odds Ratio
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Acknowledgements
We give thanks to all the dedicated fieldworkers who have been involved in the surveys and to all participants who have facilitated the survey implementation at each community.
Funding
This study was supported by Nanjing Medical Science and Technique Development Foundation, China (ZKX18049; ZKX21054) and Medical Research Project of Jiangsu Provincial Health Commission in 2022 (M2022028). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
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Y.S and Y.C contributed to conceptualizing the study and editing the manuscript. Y.C conducted formal analysis, visualization, and drafted the manuscript. X.H contributed to data curation and investigation. X.H, N.Z, and W.W supervised the survey. All authors read and approved the final manuscript, taking responsibility for data integrity and accuracy.
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Approval of the research protocol: The study was approved by the Academic Ethics Committee of Nanjing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Approval date of Registry and the Registration No. of the study/trial: PJ2020-B001-01. All procedures and methods performed in the study were in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. Before conducting the survey, all participants were informed and signed the informed consent.
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The authors declare no competing interests.
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Chen, Y., Song, Y., Zhou, N. et al. Association between movement behavior patterns and cardiovascular risk among Chinese adults aged 40–75: a sex-specific latent class analysis. BMC Public Health 24, 1170 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-18573-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-18573-z