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Prevalence of intentions to receive monkeypox vaccine. A systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Background

Immunization, as a preventive strategy against infectious diseases, has consolidated its position as a fundamental pillar in the field of public health. Therefore, the present study aimed to determine the prevalence of the intention to receive the monkeypox (Mpox) vaccine.

Methods

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the available evidence was performed using five databases (PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and ScienceDirect) with a search strategy until July 24, 2023. Data analysis was performed in R software version 4.2.3. The quality of the included cross-sectional studies was assessed using the “JBI-MAStARI”. In addition, a subgroup analysis by population and continent was developed.

Results

Twenty-nine cross-sectional articles with a total sample of 52 658 participants were included. The pooled prevalence of intention to vaccinate against Mpox was 61% (95% CI: 53–69%; 52,658 participants; 29 studies; I2 = 100%). In the subgroup analysis, the intention to be vaccinated against Mpox according to continents was 64% (95% CI: 53–74%; 13,883 participants; 17 studies; I2 = 99%) in Asian countries, 43% (95% CI: 39–47%; 1538 participants; 3 studies; I2 = 53%) in African countries, 62% (95% CI: 45–78%; 35,811 participants; 6 studies; I2 = 99%) in European countries, and 63% (95% CI: 32–89%; 1426 participants; 3 studies; I2 = 99%) in American countries. In the subgroup analysis on the intention to be vaccinated against Mpox, according to study subjects, it was 54% (95% CI: 45–62%; 10,296 participants; 11 studies; I2 = 99%) in the general population, 57% (95% CI: 33–79%; 3333 participants; 10 studies; I2 = 99%) in health care workers, and 76% (95% CI: 70–82%; 39,029 participants; 8 studies; I2 = 98%) in the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and intersex (LGBTI) community. In addition, as a secondary outcome, a prevalence of refusal of Mpox vaccination was found to be 22% (95% CI: 16–30%; 45,577 participants; 21 studies; I2 = 99%).

Conclusion

The study highlights the importance of recognizing regional and subgroup disparities in Mpox vaccine willingness and refusal. It emphasizes the importance of employing strategies to achieve widespread vaccination coverage and safeguard public health worldwide.

Terms used

Joanna Briggs Institute Meta-Analysis of Statistics Assessment and Review Instrument (JBI-MAStARI), Prospective International Registry of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA).

Peer Review reports

Introduction

Within the current public health scenario, the prevention and control of emerging infectious diseases have acquired a fundamental role in the contemporary scientific and medical agenda [1, 2]. In response to these challenges, various strategies have been devised to address them; however, immunization has proven to be an invaluable tool to attenuate the spread of pathogens and safeguard the health of communities [3, 4]. In this context, the focus of the present research is directed towards an infectious agent of growing interest: the monkeypox virus [5].

Monkeypox (Mpox), caused by the monkeypox virus, is a viral disease belonging to the family Poxviridae [6]. Although once considered a rare disease of limited scope, the rapid spread of cases in a number of nations, both endemic and non-endemic, has triggered a global public health emergency [7]. The ability of the Mpox virus to induce death in humans ranges from 1 to 10%, highlighting the importance of assessing the population’s intention to vaccinate against this pathogen [5, 8].

The prevention of infectious diseases through immunization has been consolidated as a fundamental pillar of public health, having achieved the successful eradication of smallpox and a drastic decrease in the incidence of numerous vaccine-preventable diseases [9, 10]. However, to achieve optimal levels of community protection and prevent disease re-emergence, it is essential to understand the factors that influence vaccine acceptance [11, 12]. Intention to receive a vaccine is influenced by a complex interplay of sociodemographic, cultural, psychological, and risk perception variables [13, 14], highlighting the need for detailed research on population intention toward Mpox vaccination.

Therefore, the objective of the present investigation is to determine the prevalence of the intention to receive the Mpox vaccine. These findings could contribute to the development of more effective communication strategies and public health policies, guiding the prevention of Mpox and providing relevant information to strengthen preparedness and response to possible future outbreaks [13].

Materials and methods

Protocol and registration

The process of this research has been duly recorded in PROSPERO (CRD42023 447,971), ensuring transparency and thoroughness in the protocol. The systematic review and meta-analysis adhered to the PRISMA checklist guidelines during its conduct (Table S1).

Eligibility criteria

Inclusion criteria

All cross-sectional studies addressing the prevalence of the intention to vaccinate against Mpox were included. No limitations were applied regarding language, time period, or geographic location. However, only those studies that were fully available, included sample size details, and presented relevant data on any aspect related to the intention of vaccination against Mpox were incorporated.

Exclusion criteria

The studies whose research topics did not align with the objectives of our investigation were excluded, as were those that employed a different design than a cross-sectional study. Likewise, incomplete articles were rejected, either due to insufficient data or a lack of information on the desired results. Finally, an attempt was made to establish contact with the corresponding author via email; however, unfortunately, it was not possible.

Information sources and search strategy

Two researchers conducted thorough searches in various renowned databases, including PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, and ScienceDirect. To optimize the search, they used key terms such as “monkeypox”, “Mpox”, “vaccine”, and “attitude”. The specific search strategies employed for each database are detailed in Table S2. The initial search was conducted on July 1, 2023, and was updated on July 24, 2023.

Study selection

The authors used the Rayyan tool to store and manage the results obtained from the search strategy. After removing duplicate articles, a preliminary selection of the remaining ones was carried out by reading titles and abstracts, following pre-established criteria. Subsequently, a comprehensive review of the full reports was conducted to determine their compliance with the inclusion criteria. Any discrepancies were resolved through discussions and consultations with a researcher.

Main and secondary results of the study

This study addresses two fundamental variables: the main one, focused on the intention to be vaccinated against Mpox, and the secondary one, related to the refusal to be vaccinated against this disease. Both were delineated from the following question: Do you plan to be vaccinated against Mpox?

Intention to vaccinate against Mpox

The definition of this primary variable was based on responses related to willingness or likelihood to be vaccinated against Mpox. Participants’ decisions regarding vaccination against this disease highlight the importance of immunization, either as a preventive measure or in response to vaccine availability.

Refusal of the Mpox vaccination

The definition of this secondary variable was based on responses indicating the likelihood of not being vaccinated or refusing the Mpox vaccine.

Quality assessment

Two independent researchers conducted the evaluation of the quality of the included cross-sectional studies using the “JBI-MAStARI” method. In the event of any discrepancies in the assessments, a third investigator was involved to resolve them. The studies were classified based on their quality scores as high (≥ 7 points), moderate (4 to 6 points), or low (< 4 points) [15] (Table S3).

Data collection process and data items

Two expert researchers collected the relevant data from the selected articles. Then, they extracted the following details and recorded them in an Excel spreadsheet: the name of the primary author, publication year, country, sample size, study population, gender (male and female), prevalence of intent to vaccinate against Mpox, number of cases of intent to vaccinate against Mpox, prevalence of refusal to vaccinate against Mpox, number of cases of refusal to vaccinate against Mpox, type of survey, and date of data collection. Finally, a third researcher verified the extracted data to ensure its accuracy and eliminate any incorrect information.

Data analysis

Firstly, the selected articles were entered into a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet for further analysis using R, version 4.2.3. The results were presented using narrative tables and graphs. The estimation of the joint prevalence of Mpox vaccination intent was conducted using the random-effects model with inverse variance weighting. To assess heterogeneity among the studies, the Cochrane Q statistic was used, and its quantification was performed using the I2 index. Values of 25%, 50%, and 75% were considered indicators of low, moderate, and high heterogeneity, respectively. In order to examine publication bias, funnel-shaped graphs were employed, and Egger’s regression test was applied. The presence of potential publication bias was considered when the p-value was less than 0.05.

Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted based on the study population and continent. The presentation of the pooled prevalence of Mpox vaccination intent was done using a forest plot format, which included 95% confidence intervals.

Results

Study selection

A total of 4950 articles were identified through systematic searches in five databases. After removing 364 duplicate records, 4586 articles were left for review. Subsequently, a thorough evaluation of the full texts (n = 60) was conducted, of which 29 studies fully met the eligibility criteria [16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44]. To visualize the study selection process, the detailed flow diagram in Fig. 1 is presented.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Study selection process based on the PRISMA flowchart

Characteristics of the included studie

Table 1 summarizes the characteristics of the included studies [16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44]. This study encompassed 29 cross-sectional research articles, involving a total of 52,658 individuals from 19 countries, published between 2020 and 2023. Of the participant pool, 84.59% (n = 44,543) were men, while 15.26% (n = 8,036) were women. The questionnaires used for data collection were exclusively administered through online surveys, specifically tailored for diverse populations, including the general population, healthcare professionals, and the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and intersex (LGBTI) community [16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44].

Table 1 Characteristics of included studies on intention to vaccinate against monkeypox

Quality of the included studies and publication bias

The included cross-sectional studies were characterized by their high level of quality, which was assessed using the JBI-MAStARI tool [16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44] (Table S3). Egger’s test for the evaluation of publication bias obtained a value of p = 0.0005 (t = -3.99, df = 27), thus rejecting the null hypothesis of symmetry. Thus, it can be shown that the asymmetry in the results and in the image explains the wide differences in the reported prevalence values; however, publication bias cannot be demonstrated (Figure S1).

Prevalence of intention to vaccinate against Mpox

The combined prevalence of the intention to vaccinate against Mpox was 61% (95% CI: 53–69%; 52,658 participants; 29 studies; I2 = 100%) [16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44] (Fig. 2). Figure 3 illustrates the pooled prevalence of the intention to vaccinate against Mpox in different countries, according to the data collected in the studies analyzed. Analyzing the data by continent, the following vaccination intention prevalences were found: In Asian countries, it was 64% (95% CI: 53–74%; 13,883 participants; 17 studies; I2 = 99%) [17, 18, 20, 22, 24,25,26,27, 29, 34, 35, 37, 39,40,41,42, 44]; in African countries, it was 43% (95% CI: 39–47%; 1538 participants; 3 studies; I2 = 53%) [19, 23, 28]; in European countries, it was 62% (95% CI: 45–78%; 35,811 participants; 6 studies; I2 = 99%) [21, 30,31,32, 36, 38]; and in American countries, it was 63% (95% CI: 32–89%; 1426 participants; 3 studies; I2 = 99%) [16, 33, 43] (Figure S3). Furthermore, when focusing on the target population of the studies, the following vaccination intention prevalences against Mpox were observed: among the general population, it was 54% (95% CI: 45–62%; 10,296 participants; 11 studies; I2 = 99%) [18, 19, 22, 23, 25, 26, 29, 39,40,41, 43]; among healthcare workers, it was 57% (95% CI: 33–79%; 3333 participants; 10 studies; I2 = 99%) [17, 24, 28, 30, 33, 35, 37, 38, 42, 44]; and among the LGBTI community, it was 76% (95% CI: 70–82%;39,029 participants; 8 studies; I2 = 98%) [16, 20, 21, 27, 31, 32, 34, 36] (Figure S5).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Forest plot illustrating the combined prevalence of intention to vaccinate against monkeypox

Fig. 3
figure 3

Map illustrating the prevalence of the intention to vaccinate against monkeypox in different countries of the world: Peru (88%), Jordan (29%), China (76%), Nigeria (41%), Netherlands (76%), Vietnam (65%), Ghana (46%), Lebanon (57%), Algeria (39%), Iraq (26%), Czech Republic (9%), France (66%), United States (47%), Turkey (31%), Indonesia (87%), Italy (64%), Saudi Arabia (47%), Pakistan (68%), and Malaysia (74%)

Prevalence of refusal of vaccination against Mpox

The aggregated prevalence of vaccination refusal against Mpox was found to be 22% (95% CI: 16–30%; 45,577 participants; 21 studies; I2 = 99%) [16,17,18, 20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27, 29,30,31,32,33, 35, 37, 41,42,43] (Figure S2). When analyzing the data by continents, the following prevalence rates of vaccination refusal against Mpox were observed: in Asian countries, 19% (95% CI: 11–28%; 8292 participants; 13 studies; I2 = 99%) [17, 18, 20, 22, 24,25,26,27, 29, 35, 37, 41, 42]; in European countries, 23% (95% CI: 12–35%; 35,254 participants; 4 studies; I2 = 99%) [21, 30,31,32]; and in American countries, 29% (95% CI: 12–50%;1426 participants; 3 studies; I2 = 98%) [16, 33, 43] (Figure S4). Furthermore, a subgroup analysis focused on the target population of the studies was conducted, and the following prevalence rates of vaccination refusal against Mpox were found: among the general population, 22% (95% CI: 11–36%; 6908 participants; 8 studies; I2 = 99%) [18, 22, 23, 25, 26, 29, 41, 43]; among healthcare workers, 23% (95% CI: 10–39%; 2652 participants; 7 studies; I2 = 99%) [17, 24, 30, 33, 35, 37, 42]; and among the LGBTI community, 22% (95% CI: 13–34%;36,017 participants; 6 studies; I2 = 99%) [16, 20, 21, 27, 31, 32] (Figure S6).

Discussion

Improving vaccination is essential for several diseases with available vaccines. In addition to creating safe and effective vaccines, it is necessary to solve logistical challenges, ensure equitable distribution, and promote acceptance in the population to guarantee the demand for vaccines [45].

Monkeypox is gradually becoming a globally relevant public health issue. There are still uncertainties regarding the exact routes of transmission of this disease [8, 46]. Therefore, it is essential to propose sound preventive approaches, such as the implementation of targeted vaccination programs against the Mpox virus, to address this issue efficiently [45].

The present systematic review and meta-analysis determined the prevalence of intention to receive the Mpox vaccine. The combined prevalence of intention to be vaccinated against Mpox was 61%. According to investigations, the prevalence of intention to be vaccinated against Mpox ranged from 8.8 to 93.6% [30, 44]. Riad A et al. showed that 51% of participants were willing to receive the Mpox vaccine if it was offered free, safe, and effective [47]. Another study proposed by Alarifi AM et al. reported that 52.7% of the participants expressed a willingness to receive the Mpox vaccine. The results indicated that the main reasons for this willingness were trust in the Saudi Arabian Ministry of Health (57.7%) and perception of the vaccine as a social responsibility (44.6%) [48]. A systematic review and meta-analysis study proposed by Ulloque-Badaracco JR et al. reported a pooled prevalence of acceptance of the Mpox vaccination of 56% [45].

Globally, vaccination represents a fundamental strategy to mitigate both the spread and severity of contagious viral infections, especially for immunocompromised individuals [49]. Smallpox vaccination provides cross-protection for both smallpox and Mpox, preventing approximately 85% of Mpox virus infection. Two vaccines are available: modified vaccinia Ankara (Jynneos/Imamune/Imvanex, Bavarian Nordic, Hørsholm, Denmark) and ACAM2000 (Emergent BioSolutions, Gaithersburg, MD, USA) [50, 51].

In the subgroup analysis by continents on the intention to be vaccinated against Mpox, the following prevalences were found: Asia (64%), Europe (62%), America (63%), and Africa (43%). Ulloque-Badaracco JR, et al. reported that the prevalence of Mpox vaccine uptake was 50% in Asian countries and 70% in European countries [45]. In addition, in China and Indonesia, they reported the highest prevalence of intention to vaccinate against Mpox, around 90.2% and 93.6%, respectively [34, 44]. This variation could be due to how different countries respond to the severity of a disease and take precautions, which is related to socioeconomic and cultural factors, access to information, and distrust in the health system and government policies.

In the subgroup analysis on the intention to be vaccinated against Mpox, focused on the target population of the studies, the following prevalences were found: general population (54%), health care workers (57%), and the LGBTI community (76%). The study conducted by Alarifi AM et al. revealed that physicians and pharmacists demonstrated a higher willingness to receive the Mpox vaccine, with percentages of 57.5% and 56.1%, respectively, compared to nurses, whose willingness was 46.7% [48]. Ulloque-Badaracco JR et al. reported that the prevalence of vaccine acceptance was 43.0% in the general population, 63.0% in health care workers, and 84.0% in the LGBTI community [45]. In addition, the results may indicate an increased awareness among study subjects of the importance of prevention in different groups that have faced barriers to medical care. The current Mpox outbreak continues to impact primarily men who have sex with men and who have reported having recent sexual encounters with one or more male partners [52]. Therefore, it is crucial to monitor people who have been in contact with the reported cases in order to prevent the spread of this disease.

Another important secondary outcome found by the study was that the pooled prevalence of Mpox vaccination refusal was 22%. Finally, it is worth mentioning that both Americans and healthcare workers exhibited the highest rates of refusal towards Mpox vaccination, with 29% and 23% refusal, respectively. Riad A et al. showed that 30.6% and 18.1% of participants were unsure and refused the Mpox vaccination [47]. Another study proposed by Alarifi AM et al. reported that 47.3% of participants refused the Mpox vaccination [48]. Ulloque-Badaracco JR et al. in their systematic review and meta-analysis, reported a refusal of Mpox vaccination of 24% [45]. One investigation identified insufficient information about the vaccine, fear of unknown adverse reactions, and doubts about the effectiveness and safety of the vaccine as the most reported reasons for unwillingness to receive the Mpox vaccine [48].

This study highlights the importance of recognizing regional and subgroup disparities in willingness to vaccinate and refusal of Mpox vaccination. The findings emphasize the need to implement communication and education strategies tailored to particular contexts in order to enhance vaccination uptake. Additionally, identifying populations with higher refusal rates can guide specific efforts to address concerns and strengthen vaccine confidence within these groups. Ultimately, understanding these factors is essential to achieving optimal levels of vaccination coverage and safeguarding global public health.

The present study has some limitations. First, information about Mpox is constantly evolving. Second, it is crucial to recognize the possibility of bias in the incorporated studies. Third, it is important to keep in mind that the studies addressed in the meta-analysis may cover diverse populations, interventions, and outcomes, thus making it difficult to extrapolate the findings to other populations. In addition, it is crucial to improve the instruments and methods for measuring the intention, acceptance, and refusal of the Mpox vaccination. Several factors, such as confidence in the efficacy and safety of the vaccine, health professionals’ recommendations, government policies, perceptions of disease risk, as well as other social and cultural aspects, may influence these attitudes. It is suggested that future research should focus on assessing the Mpox vaccine acceptance variable, which is defined as a person’s willingness to receive or adopt a specific vaccine, supported by confidence and safety in that vaccine. Regarding its strengths, this current study has a rigorous methodological approach, as it was conducted following the guidelines proposed by the PRISMA guidelines. Furthermore, it constitutes the first systematic review and meta-analysis analyzing the prevalence of the intention to receive the Mpox vaccine. In addition, all the procedures used to select the studies were performed independently by two or more authors.

Conclusions

A combined prevalence of 61% of the intention to vaccinate against Mpox was found, with significant differences across continents and the target population of the studies. Additionally, a considerable prevalence of vaccination refusals against Mpox was identified in different groups and regions, highlighting the importance of implementing appropriate strategies to enhance vaccination acceptance and understanding.

Data Availability

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this published article.

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Conceptualization, J.J.B., D.A.L.F. and M.J.V.G.; methodology, R.S. and J.J.B; soft-ware, D.A.L.F.; validation, A.J.R.M.; formal analysis, D.A.L.F.; investigation, M.J.V.G. and R.S.; resources, D.A.L.F.; data curation, D.A.L.F. and A.J.R.M.; writing—original draft preparation, J.J.B., D.A.L.F., M.J.V.G., R.S., and A.J.R.M.; writing—review and editing, J.J.B., D.A.L.F., M.J.V.G., R.S., and A.J.R.M.; visualization, J.J.B.; supervi-sion, R.S., and A.J.R.M. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

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León-Figueroa, D.A., Barboza, J.J., Valladares-Garrido, M.J. et al. Prevalence of intentions to receive monkeypox vaccine. A systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Public Health 24, 35 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-023-17473-y

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