Table 4 Probability of increase in rate by > 0, > 5, > 10, > 25, > 50 and > 100% based on the marginal posterior distribution of future projections based on the Bayesian APC-model
| Â | Overweight | Obesity | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Men | Women | Men | Women | |||||
2025 | 2030 | 2025 | 2030 | 2025 | 2030 | 2025 | 2030 | |
Increase > 0% | 43.3% | 43.3% | 56.0% | 57.4% | 86.7% | 84.1% | 54.6% | 56.0% |
Increase > 5% | 30.4% | 36.6% | 49.6% | 54.2% | 81.9% | 81.6% | 49.6% | 53.5% |
Increase > 10% | 19.9% | 30.4% | 43.2% | 50.9% | 76.2% | 78.9% | 44.8% | 51.2% |
Increase > 25% | 4.0% | 15.3% | 25.7% | 41.0% | 55.6% | 70.1% | 32.0% | 44.5% |
Increase > 50% | 0.1% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 54.7% | 17.3% | 35.1% |
Increase > 100% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | 0.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 28.3% | 4.9% | 21.4% |