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Table 6 The associations of study variables with incidence of CVD mortality using survival and longitudinal models stratified by sex

From: The effect of obesity phenotype changes on cardiovascular outcomes in adults older than 40 years in the prospective cohort of the Tehran lipids and glucose study (TLGS): joint model of longitudinal and time-to-event data

CVD mortality from Bayesian Cox model

  

Male (2892)

Female (3458)

Variables

 

HR (95% CI)

P-value

HR (95% CI)

P-value

Education (Reference: illiterate)

Literate

0.91 (0.62 to 1.33)

0.64

-

-

Smoking status (Reference: Never smoker)

Past smoker

0.56 (0.38 to 0.83)

0.003

-

-

 

Current smoker

1.37 (0.95 to 1.98)

0.08

-

-

Physical activity (Reference: Highest)

Lowest

1.06 (0.81 to 1.39)

0.63

-

-

Family history of diabetes (Reference: No)

Yes

1.18 (0.86 to 1.60)

0.29

-

-

Family history of CVD (Reference: No)

Yes

1.01 (0.68 to 1.50)

0.95

-

-

Obesity phenotypes (Reference: Normal)

Abnormal

1.16 (0.78 to 1.73)

0.44

-

-

Age (year)

 

1.08 (1.06 to 1.10)

<0.001

-

-

Obesity varying from Bayesian logit mixed effects model

  

Male (2892)

Female (3458)

Variables

 

OR (95% CI)

P-value

OR (95% CI)

P-value

Education (Reference: illiterate)

Literate

-

-

-

-

Smoking status (Reference: Never smoker)

Past smoker

0.66 (0.35 to 1.24)

0.20

-

-

 

Current smoker

0.40 (0.20 to 0.79)

0.008

-

-

Physical activity (Reference: Highest)

Lowest

1.17 (0.70 to 1.96)

0.53

-

-

Family history of diabetes (Reference: No)

Yes

2.96 (1.54 to 5.69)

0.001

-

-

Family history of CVD (Reference: No)

Yes

0.90 (0.43 to 1.89)

0.79

-

-

Obesity phenotypes (Reference: Normal)

Normal

-

-

-

-

Age (year)

 

0.98 (0.95 to 1.01)

0.42

-

-

  1. Abbreviations CVD: Cardiovascular disease; CI: credible interval; HR: hazard ratio; OR: odds ratio