| Burden of disease from March 2020 until Feb 2022 | Incremental results with increased adult booster dose uptake | Incremental results with increased vaccine uptake 5-11y in 2021 | Incremental results with reduced adult booster dose uptake |
---|---|---|---|---|
Deaths | 29,053 [27,817;30,090] | -310 [-616;-2] | -325 [-723;36] | +1,874 [2,522;1,434] |
ICU admissions | 30,544 [29,700;31,243] | -532 [-950;-70] | -703 [-1,350;-33] | +3,098 [4,066;2,440] |
Hospital admissions | 139,506 [135,241;142,680] | -4,019 [-7,068;-866] | -3,171 [-8,101;364] | +20,035 [27,406;15,048] |
Mild infections | 4,577,231 [4,201,783;5,008,672] | -217,773 [-416,007;-48,904] | -50,969 [-365,957;145,356] | +638,486 [1,031,606;381,605] |
Total Infections | 8,906,170 [8,196,824;9,745,087] | -418,233 [-806,964;-86,812] | -116,518 [-736,416;269,100] | +1,173,796 [1,916,998;683,533] |
QALYs lost | 259,687 [250,019;266,080] | -4,512 [-8,505;-361] | -3,809 [-10,717;1,341] | +21,057 [15,225;31,582] |
Vaccine Uptake (doses) | 25,671,309 | +1,227,329 | +905,113 | -2,896,104 |
\(\frac{\mathbf {QALY\ gain\ (mean)}}{\mathbf {Uptake\ (doses)}}\) | - | 0.0037 | 0.0042 | 0.0054 |