Skip to main content

Table 4 Estimated size of KPs and BPs, initial results

From: Size estimation of key populations and ‘bridge populations’ based on the network scale-up method in Ukraine

Studied group

Known Population Method

Summation Method

Estimation

CI (95%)1

Estimation

CI (95%)

PWID

81,896

68,846–94,946

139,854

117,568–162,139

 Aged 10–14 years2

4,863

3,181–6,771

8,305

5,431–11,563

 Aged 15–17 years

7,388

5,194–9,925

12,616

8,870–16,950

 Aged 15 years and older

77,033

59,747–83,675

131,549

102,031–142,893

 Aged 18 years and older

69,645

52,104–74,973

118,933

88,979–128,031

 Females

16,609

14,707–18,010

28,363

25,116–30,757

 Males

65,287

63,886–67,189

111,491

109,097–114,738

Female SW

12,033

8,927–15,138

20,548

15,245–25,851

 Aged 10–14 years

1,554

851–2,313

2,654

1,452–3,949

 Aged 15–17 years

1,453

877–2,081

2,481

1,497–3,553

 Aged 15 years and older

10,479

7,129–13,251

17,894

12,174–22,628

 Aged 18 years and older

9,026

5,780–11,669

15,413

9,871–19,928

Male SW

1,405

913–1,896

2,399

1,559–3,238

 Aged 10–14 years

140

0–287

239

0–490

 Aged 15–17 years

611

175–1,065

1,043

298–1,819

 Aged 15 years and older

1,265

752–1,719

2,160

1,284–2,936

 Aged 18 years and older

654

17–1,232

1,117

29–2,104

MSM

8,795

6,351–11,238

15,019

10,846–19,192

 Aged 10–14 years

281

104–470

479

178–803

 Aged 15–17 years

430

143–738

735

244–1,261

 Aged 15 years and older

8,514

5,630–10,407

14,540

9,614–17,772

 Aged 18 years and older

8,084

5,264–9,907

13,805

8,990–16,918

TP

1,814

1,338–2,289

3,098

2,286–3,909

 Under the age of 18

332

131–544

567

224–929

 Aged 18 years and older

1,482

913–1,660

2,531

1,559–2,834

 Male-to-female

782

490–998

1,335

837–1,704

 Female-to-male

1,032

691–1,274

1,763

1,179–2,176

Sexual partners of PWID

26,554

21,549–31,559

45,346

36,799–53,893

Female clients of male SW

9,337

7,398–11,275

15,944

12,634–19,254

Male clients of female SW

62,913

52,155–73,670

107,436

89,065–125,807

MSM who have female partners3

5,061

2,723–7,399

8,642

4,650–12,635

  1. 1 Confidence intervals are calculated for a fixed social network size
  2. 2 The estimated size of sub-populations is calculated based on the percentage of acquaintances of a specific age/gender within the corresponding group
  3. 3 Used as an indirect estimate of the number of female sexual partners of MSM.