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Table 1 Basic Reproduction Number Estimates obtained for 45 Subsaharan African Countries based on a Log-Linear Model to recorded data up until 10th May, 2020

From: SARS-CoV-2 incidence monitoring and statistical estimation of the basic and time-varying reproduction number at the early onset of the pandemic in 45 sub-Saharan African countries

Country

Growth Rate

CI for GrowthRate

\({\boldsymbol R}_{\mathbf0}\)

CI for \({\boldsymbol R}_{\mathbf0}\)

Angola

0.017

(0,0.0335)

1.12

(0.95,1.23)

Burkina Faso

-0.005

(-0.0196,0.0097)

0.96

(0.88,1.06)

Benin

0.066

(0.051,0.0814)

1.57

(1.38,1.69)

Botswana

-0.007

(-0.0719,0.0575)

0.96

(0.62,1.4)

Burundi

0.041

(-0.0148,0.0971)

1.3

(0.76,1.88)

Cameroon

0.053

(0.0293,0.0757)

1.44

(1.26,1.64)

CAR

0.052

(0.0158,0.0877)

1.43

(1.2,1.77)

Chad

0.080

(0.0573,0.1027)

1.72

(1.46,1.89)

Congo

0.038

(0.0094,0.0659)

1.28

(1.06,1.56)

Djibouti

0.024

(-0.0048,0.0529)

1.18

(0.94,1.41)

DRC

0.050

(0.0365,0.0636)

1.41

(1.28,1.52)

Equitorial Guinea

0.076

(0.037,0.1146)

1.65

(1.29,2.06)

Eritrea

-0.006

(-0.0664,0.0536)

0.94

(0.67,1.4)

Eswatini

0.033

(0.014,0.0514)

1.26

(1.13,1.43)

Ethiopia

0.019

(0.0034,0.0342)

1.13

(1.03,1.24)

Gabon

0.076

(0.0553,0.0974)

1.69

(1.48,1.88)

Gambia

0.009

(-0.0147,0.0329)

1.07

(0.88,1.21)

Ghana

0.097

(0.0769,0.1164)

1.87

(1.71,2.08)

Guinea

0.073

(0.0587,0.0867)

1.61

(1.46,1.77)

Guinea-Bissau

0.083

(0.0465,0.1187)

1.76

(1.47,2.1)

Ivory Coast

0.046

(0.0307,0.0604)

1.37

(1.24,1.5)

Kenya

0.037

(0.0265,0.0483)

1.28

(1.21,1.37)

Liberia

0.037

(0.0161,0.0574)

1.27

(1.06,1.49)

Madagascar

-0.005

(-0.0277,0.0175)

0.97

(0.85,1.1)

Malawi

0.012

(-0.0223,0.0454)

1.07

(0.85,1.32)

Mali

0.049

(0.0339,0.0633)

1.38

(1.26,1.5)

Mauritius

-0.048

(-0.0801, -0.0157)

0.7

(0.551,0.878)

Mauritania

-0.002

(-0.0213,0.0181)

0.99

(0.85,1.13)

Mozambique

0.011

(-0.0108,0.0333)

1.09

(0.89,1.27)

Namibia

0.027

(-0.0411,0.0942)

1.19

(0.8,1.7)

Niger

0.002

(-0.0206,0.0249)

1.01

(0.88,1.17)

Nigeria

0.086

(0.0762,0.0955)

1.75

(1.66,1.86)

Rwanda

0.009

(-0.0052,0.024)

1.07

(0.98,1.19)

South Africa

0.066

(0.056,0.0767)

1.55

(1.46,1.66)

Sao Tome and Principe

0.057

(-0.0604,0.1749)

1.57

(0.7,4.18)

Senegal

0.054

(0.0445,0.0639)

1.44

(1.34,1.52)

Sierra-Leone

0.085

(0.0673,0.1027)

1.74

(1.58,1.92)

Somalia

0.094

(0.0749,0.1128)

1.85

(1.69,2.04)

South-Sudan

0.078

(0.0204,0.1359)

1.61

(1.13,2.27)

Sudan

0.110

(0.0931,0.1276)

2.03

(1.83,2.25)

Tanzania

0.086

(0.0527,0.1184)

1.79

(1.46,2.14)

Togo

0.012

(-0.0044,0.0275)

1.08

(0.97,1.2)

Uganda

-0.007

(-0.028,0.014)

0.949

(0.818,1.049)

Zambia

0.028

(0.01,0.0458)

1.21

(1.06,1.34)

Zimbabwe

0.003

(-0.018 0.0238)

1.02

(0.846, 1.149)