Cross-model validation of public health microsimulation models; comparing two models on estimated effects of a weight management intervention

Table 3 Absolute QALYs and incremental QALYs versus simulated natural history in the SPHR and HC models

	Absolute QALYs		Incremental QALYs compared to simulated natural history		Incremental QALYs compared to simulated natural history (days)
	SPHR Model	Health Checks Model*	SPHR model	Health Checks Model*	SPHR model	Health Checks Model*
Simulated natural history	11.3675 [10.5124, 12.1586]	13.1084 [12.7644, 13.4805]
Brief intervention	11.3694 [10.5161, 12.1584]	13.1154 [12.7644, 13.4808]	0.0019 [-0.0499, 0.0416]	0.0078 [0.0039, 0.0125]	0.7 [-18.2, 4.6]	2.8 [1.4, 4.4]
12-week intervention	11.3923 [10.5479, 12.1737]	13.1157 [12.7647, 13.4809]	0.0248 [-0.0024, 0.0599]	0.0079 [0.0043, 0.0126]	9.1 [-0.9, 21.9]	2.9 [1.6, 4.6]
52-week intervention	11.3973 [10.5663, 12.1715]	13.1160 [12.7656, 13.4845]	0.0298 [-0.002, 0.0688]	0.0085 [0.0048, 0.0129]	10.9 [-0.1, 25.1]	3.1 [1.8, 4.7]

ISSN: 1471-2458