Table 3 Age standardised mortality rates (per 100000) in Norway 2020, 2021 and 2022 by the most important cause-of-death groups, COVID-19, and missing cause of death. Predictions and 95% prediction intervals are based on trends for 2010–2019. Significant excess mortality in bold and significantly lower mortality than predicted in italics than predicted in italics
Year | Observed | Predicted | 95% Prediction interval | Excess mortality | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malignant tumours | 2020 | 223.6 | 225.3 | (221.7 to 229) | -1.7 | -0.8 |
2021 | 220.2 | 221.0 | (217.2 to 224.9) | -0.9 | -0.4 | |
2022 | 221.6 | 216.7 | (212.7 to 220.8) | 4.9 | 2.3 | |
Cardiovascular diseases | 2020 | 199.8 | 193.3 | (180.5 to 206.1) | 6.5 | 3.4 |
2021 | 208.6 | 179.7 | (166.3 to 193.2) | 28.8 | 16.0 | |
2022 | 209.0 | 166.2 | (152 to 180.3) | 42.8 | 25.8 | |
Dementia | 2020 | 86.1 | 92.0 | (85.6 to 98.3) | -5.9 | -6.4 |
2021 | 88.7 | 95.4 | (88.8 to 102.1) | -6.7 | -7.1 | |
2022 | 90.9 | 98.9 | (91.9 to 105.9) | -8.0 | -8.1 | |
Respiratory diseases | 2020 | 78.8 | 97.0 | (84.7 to 109.3) | -18.2 | -18.7 |
2021 | 75.0 | 96.9 | (84 to 109.8) | -21.9 | -22.6 | |
2022 | 88.1 | 96.8 | (83.3 to 110.4) | -8.8 | -9.1 | |
External causes | 2020 | 52.6 | 52.1 | (47.2 to 57) | 0.5 | 1.0 |
2021 | 52.4 | 51.7 | (46.5 to 56.8) | 0.7 | 1.4 | |
2022 | 53.6 | 51.2 | (45.8 to 56.6) | 2.4 | 4.6 | |
Covid-19 | 2020 | 8.7 | 0.0 | (0 to 0) | 8.7 | ∞ |
2021 | 17.2 | 0.0 | (0 to 0) | 17.2 | ∞ | |
2022 | 57.5 | 0.0 | (0 to 0) | 57.5 | ∞ | |
All other causes | 2020 | 167.0 | 161.1 | (153.8 to 168.4) | 5.9 | 3.7 |
2021 | 172.7 | 158.1 | (150.4 to 165.7) | 14.6 | 9.2 | |
2022 | 181.1 | 155.0 | (147 to 163.1) | 26.0 | 16.8 | |
Missing cause of death | 2020 | 23.8 | 19.7 | (13.2 to 26.3) | 4.1 | 20.6 |
2021 | 12.2 | 20.4 | (13.6 to 27.3) | -8.3 | -40.5 | |
2022 | 14.9 | 21.1 | (13.9 to 28.3) | -6.3 | -29.6 | |
All non-COVID-19 causes | 2020 | 831.8 | 840.6 | (819.1 to 862.1) | -8.8 | -1.0 |
2021 | 829.7 | 823.3 | (800.8 to 845.9) | 6.4 | 0.8 | |
2022 | 859.1 | 806.1 | (782.4 to 829.7) | 53.0 | 6.6 | |
All causes | 2020 | 840.5 | 840.6 | (819.1 to 862.1) | -0.1 | 0.0 |
2021 | 846.9 | 823.3 | (800.8 to 845.9) | 23.6 | 2.9 | |
2022 | 916.6 | 806.1 | (782.4 to 829.7) | 110.6 | 13.7 |