Table 2 Number of deaths in Norway 2020, 2021 and 2022 by major cause-of-death groups, COVID-19, and missing cause of death. Predictions and 95% prediction intervals are based on trends for 2010–2019. Significant excess mortality in bold and significantly lower mortality than predicted in italics
Year | Observed | Predicted | 95% Prediction interval | Excess mortality | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malignant tumours | 2020 | 10876 | 10888 | (10714 to 11063) | -12 | -0.1 |
2021 | 10962 | 10895 | (10712 to 11078) | 67 | 0.6 | |
2022 | 11282 | 10902 | (10710 to 11094) | 380 | 3.5 | |
Cardiovascular diseases | 2020 | 9577 | 9339 | (8738 to 9939) | 238 | 2.6 |
2021 | 10205 | 8925 | (8295 to 9555) | 1280 | 14.3 | |
2022 | 10381 | 8511 | (7849 to 9173) | 1870 | 22.0 | |
Dementia | 2020 | 4067 | 4266 | (3969 to 4563) | -199 | -4.7 |
2021 | 4265 | 4462 | (4151 to 4773) | -197 | -4.4 | |
2022 | 4442 | 4658 | (4332 to 4985) | -216 | -4.6 | |
Respiratory diseases | 2020 | 3768 | 4572 | (4031 to 5112) | -804 | -17.6 |
2021 | 3660 | 4638 | (4071 to 5205) | -978 | -21.1 | |
2022 | 4401 | 4704 | (4108 to 5300) | -303 | -6.4 | |
External causes | 2020 | 2638 | 2604 | (2375 to 2832) | 34 | 1.3 |
2021 | 2657 | 2613 | (2374 to 2853) | 44 | 1.7 | |
2022 | 2747 | 2623 | (2371 to 2875) | 124 | 4.7 | |
COVID-19 | 2020 | 402 | 0 | (0 to 0) | 402 | ∞ |
2021 | 852 | 0 | (0 to 0) | 852 | ∞ | |
2022 | 2858 | 0 | (0 to 0) | 2858 | ∞ | |
All other causes | 2020 | 8071 | 7721 | (7410 to 8032) | 350 | 4.5 |
2021 | 8497 | 7703 | (7377 to 8029) | 794 | 10.3 | |
2022 | 9065 | 7685 | (7342 to 8028) | 1380 | 18.0 | |
Missing cause of death | 2020 | 1159 | 961 | (652 to 1271) | 198 | 20.6 |
2021 | 615 | 1005 | (681 to 1329) | -390 | -38.8 | |
2022 | 771 | 1048 | (707 to 1389) | -277 | -26.5 | |
All non-COVID-19 causes | 2020 | 40186 | 40351 | (39414 to 41288) | -165 | -0.4 |
2021 | 40861 | 40241 | (39259 to 41224) | 620 | 1.5 | |
2022 | 43089 | 40132 | (39099 to 41165) | 2957 | 7.4 | |
All causes | 2020 | 40558 | 40351 | (39414 to 41288) | 207 | 0.5 |
2021 | 41713 | 40241 | (39259 to 41224) | 1472 | 3.7 | |
2022 | 45947 | 40132 | (39099 to 41165) | 5815 | 14.5 |