Table 1 Description of the multistate life-table model input parameters to estimate the burden of non-communicable diseases from 2019 to 2030 attributable to overweight in Chile

Baseline characteristics

 Demographics

National Health Survey of Chile [12,13,14]

 Deaths

Official Deaths Statistics of the Ministry of Health [17]

 Prevalence of overweight

National Health Surveys of Chile [12,13,14]

Cardiovascular diseases

 Coronary heart disease

35–59 years: 1.50 (1.39,1.62)

60–69 years: 1.40 (1.32, 1.49)

70–79 years: 1.31 (1.23, 1.40)

80–89 years: 1.30 (1.17, 1.45)

[15]

 Stroke

35–59 years: 1.76 (1.52, 2.04)

60–69 years: 1.49 (1.34, 1.67)

70–79 years: 1.33 (1.19, 1.48)

80–89 years: 1.10 (0.94, 1.30)

[15]

 Hypertensive heart disease

BMI 15–25: 1.17 (0.77, 1.76)

BMI 25–50: 2.03 (1.75, 2.36)

[15]

Type 2 diabetes

BMI 15–25: 0.96 (0.59, 1.55)

BMI 25–50: 2.16 (1.89, 2.46)

[15]

Chronic kidney disease

BMI 15–25: 1.14 (0.74, 1.77)

BMI 25–50: 1.59 (1.27, 1.99)

[15]

Cirrhosis

BMI 15–25: 0.73 (0.54, 1.00)

BMI 25–50: 1.79 (1.54, 2.08)

[15]

Cancers

 Colorectal

Men: 1.24 (1.20, 1.28)

Women: 1.09 (1.05, 1.13)

[15]

 Kidney

Men: 1.24 (1.20, 1.28)

Women: 1.09 (1.05, 1.13)

[15]

 Liver

35–79 years: 1.47 (1.26, 1.71)

[15]

 Breast

Women (> 60 years): 1.12 (1.08, 1.16)

[15]

 Pancreas

1.10 (1.07, 1.14)

[15]