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Table 3 Multilevel multivariable regression model for factors associated with self-reported diagnosis of syphilis (overall and symptomatic) in 68 countries

From: Comparison of the burden of self-reported bacterial sexually transmitted infections among men having sex with men across 68 countries on four continents

 

Syphilis, all diagnoses

Syphilis, classified symptomatic

Univariate analyses, (N = 198,604)

Multivariable analysis (N = 185,729)

Univariate analyses (N = 193,059)

Multivariable analysis (N = 187,364)

OR

95% CI

p

aOR

95% CI

p

OR

95% CI

p

aOR

95% CI

p

Region

Central-West Europe (AT, CH, DE, LI, LU)

ref.

           

West Europe (BE, FR, IE, NL, MC, UK)

1.75

1.05–2.93

0.033

0.84

0.48–1.49

0.560

1.22

0.71–2.08

0.467

0.99

0.64–1.52

0.955

Southwest Europe (AD, ES, IT, MT, PT, SM)

1.46

0.84–2.54

0.177

1.29

0.88–1.91

0.191

1.86

1.06–3.29

0.032

1.67

1.07–2.62

0.024

Northwest Europe (DK, FI, IS, NO, SE)

0.51

0.29–0.88

0.016

0.51

0.35–0.76

0.001

0.57

0.31–1.05

0.073

0.64

0.38–1.06

0.085

Northeast Europe (EE, LT, LV)

0.54

0.25–1.16

0.113

0.75

0.40–1.43

0.381

0.32

0.07–1.42

0.133

0.38

0.09–1.64

0.194

Central-East Europe (CZ, HU, PL, SK, SL)

0.78

0.46–1.34

0.371

1.01

0.70–1.46

0.970

1.14

0.65–2.02

0.647

1.26

0.79–2.02

0.328

Southeast Europe (AL, BA, BU, CY, HR, GR, HR, ME, MK, RO, RS, TR, XK)

0.69

0.42–1.12

0.132

0.88

0.62–1.24

0.460

0.96

0.56–1.64

0.879

1.06

0.68–1.66

0.785

East Europe (BY, MD, RU, UA)

0.97

0.55–1.71

0.908

0.87

0.57–1.33

0.526

1.26

0.67–2.35

0.470

1.26

0.75–2.10

0.387

Middle East (IL, LB)

0.76

0.36–1.62

0.476

0.66

0.37–1.17

0.155

0.62

0.22–1.71

0.356

0.57

0.23–1.41

0.222

Philippines

0.46

0.20–1.10

0.080

0.57

0.31–1.05

0.072

0.47

0.18–1.25

0.130

0.57

0.25–1.29

0.178

Canada

1.05

0.46–2.42

0.902

0.56

0.26–1.20

0.137

0.72

0.31–1.71

0.460

0.68

0.34–1.35

0.268

Mexico

1.48

0.65–3.38

0.346

1.47

0.87–2.51

0.153

1.89

0.85–4.21

0.117

1.63

0.89–2.98

0.117

Central America (CR, GT, HN, NI, PA, SV)

1.64

0.98–2.74

0.057

1.86

1.29–2.67

0.001

1.97

1.12–3.44

0.018

2.30

1.45–3.66

< 0.001

Andean region (BO, EC, CO, PE, VE, SR)

1.84

1.11–3.05

0.019

1.86

1.29–2.68

0.001

2.48

1.46–4.22

0.001

2.42

1.57–3.72

< 0.001

Southern Cone (AR, CL, UY, PY)

2.04

1.18–3.53

0.011

1.74

1.17–2.58

0.006

3.03

1.72–5.33

< 0.001

2.75

1.75–4.32

< 0.001

Brazil

3.53

1.56–8.02

0.003

2.00

0.94–4.27

0.072

4.46

2.02–9.83

< 0.001

3.71

2.04–6.73

< 0.001

Survey artefacts

             

French translation

no

ref.

           

yes

1.92

1.66–2.23

< 0.001

2.05

1.75–2.39

< 0.001

1.09

0.76–1.55

0.645

1.21

0.86–1.71

0.281

Major data discrepancies

no

ref.

           

yes

1.35

1.28–1.43

< 0.001

1.30

1.22–1.38

< 0.001

1.23

1.11–1.37

< 0.001

1.17

1.04–1.31

0.008

Sample composition

             

Age group

< 25 years

ref.

           

25–29 years

1.69

1.58–1.80

< 0.001

1.33

1.24–1.43

< 0.001

1.67

1.47–1.89

< 0.001

1.36

1.20–1.55

< 0.001

30–39 years

1.95

1.84–2.08

< 0.001

1.30

1.21–1.39

< 0.001

1.92

1.71–2.16

< 0.001

1.38

1.22–1.56

< 0.001

40–49 years

1.99

1.86–2.13

< 0.001

1.15

1.06–1.24

0.001

1.85

1.62–2.12

< 0.001

1.21

1.05–1.40

0.008

50 + years

1.64

1.52–1.77

< 0.001

0.97

0.89–1.06

0.521

1.48

1.26–1.73

< 0.001

0.99

0.84–1.18

0.953

Settlement size (inhabitants)

village/countryside (< 10,000)

ref.

           

small town (10,000–99,999)

1.04

0.94–1.14

0.435

1.03

0.93–1.15

0.512

0.96

0.79–1.16

0.653

0.91

0.75–1.11

0.349

medium town (100,000–499,999)

1.17

1.07–1.28

0.001

1.07

0.97–1.18

0.166

1.09

0.91–1.31

0.354

0.97

0.80–1.16

0.711

big city (500,000–999,999)

1.40

1.27–1.53

< 0.001

1.17

1.06–1.30

0.002

1.24

1.03–1.49

0.023

1.03

0.85–1.25

0.753

very big city (≥ 1 million)

1.59

1.46–1.74

< 0.001

1.16

1.05–1.27

0.002

1.31

1.11–1.56

0.002

0.96

0.81–1.15

0.687

Diagnosed HIV

no

ref.

           

yes

5.27

5.05–5.50

< 0.001

3.84

3.65–4.04

< 0.001

4.11

3.78–4.46

< 0.001

2.96

2.70–3.25

< 0.001

Financial coping

comfortable

ref.

           

neither struggling nor comfortable

1.03

0.98–1.07

0.252

1.07

1.02–1.12

0.010

1.17

1.07–1.27

0.001

1.18

1.08–1.30

< 0.001

struggling

1.15

1.09–1.21

< 0.001

1.10

1.04–1.17

0.001

1.31

1.18–1.45

< 0.001

1.21

1.09–1.36

0.001

Testing behavior

             

Last STI screen

no screening

ref.

           

> 6–12 months ago

0.74

0.68–0.80

< 0.001

0.61

0.56–0.67

< 0.001

      

1–6 months ago

1.54

1.46–1.62

< 0.001

0.95

0.90–1.01

0.101

      

within the previous 4 weeks

2.61

2.46–2.77

< 0.001

1.43

1.34–1.53

< 0.001

      

Sexual behavior

             

Number of sex partners, previous 12 months

none or one

ref.

           

2–4

1.25

1.15–1.34

< 0.001

1.06

0.94–1.18

0.358

1.30

1.11–1.52

0.001

0.94

0.76–1.18

0.617

5–7

1.92

1.78–2.08

< 0.001

1.46

1.29–1.65

< 0.001

2.51

2.16–2.92

< 0.001

1.59

1.26–2.00

< 0.001

8–10

2.26

2.07–2.47

< 0.001

1.57

1.38–1.79

< 0.001

2.89

2.44–3.42

< 0.001

1.71

1.34–2.19

< 0.001

11–20

2.99

2.78–3.21

< 0.001

1.87

1.66 --2.12

< 0.001

3.58

3.10–4.14

< 0.001

1.91

1.52–2.41

< 0.001

> 20

5.96

5.56–6.38

< 0.001

2.74

2.43–3.09

< 0.001

5.88

5.12–6.77

< 0.001

2.51

1.99–3.16

< 0.001

Anal intercourse, condom use with last non-steady partner (NSP)

no anal intercourse with NSP

ref.

           

never condom with NSP

3.25

2.95–3.58

< 0.001

1.54

1.34–1.77

< 0.001

3.46

2.82–4.24

< 0.001

1.90

1.45–2.49

< 0.001

seldom condom with NSP

5.82

5.35–6.33

< 0.001

1.95

1.71–2.23

< 0.001

5.72

4.81–6.81

< 0.001

2.31

1.78–2.99

< 0.001

sometimes condom with NSP

4.72

4.36–5.10

< 0.001

1.79

1.58–2.04

< 0.001

5.48

4.68–6.42

< 0.001

2.30

1.80–2.95

< 0.001

mostly condom with NSP

2.93

2.73–3.14

< 0.001

1.41

1.25–1.59

< 0.001

3.80

3.29–4.39

< 0.001

1.87

1.47–2.37

< 0.001

always condom with NSP

1.34

1.24–1.44

< 0.001

0.83

0.73–0.94

0.003

1.62

1.39–1.89

< 0.001

1.00

0.78–1.27

0.977

no answer condom with NSP

1.18

1.06–1.31

0.002

0.96

0.84–1.10

0.572

1.31

1.05–1.63

0.015

1.05

0.81–1.37

0.705

PrEP use

never / don’t know

ref.

           

when needed

2.09

1.78–2.46

< 0.001

1.50

1.26–1.78

< 0.001

2.12

1.50–2.98

< 0.001

1.74

1.23–2.46

0.002

former daily use

2.68

2.10–3.42

< 0.001

2.18

1.68–2.82

< 0.001

1.34

0.71–2.52

0.361

1.00

0.51–1.95

0.995

current daily use

3.35

3.02–3.72

< 0.001

1.85

1.65–2.07

< 0.001

1.92

1.47–2.49

< 0.001

1.14

0.86–1.50

0.364

Multi-partner sex during last NSP sex

no

ref.

           

yes

2.47

2.36–2.60

< 0.001

1.31

1.23–1.38

< 0.001

2.42

2.20–2.66

< 0.001

1.35

1.22–1.49

< 0.001

Country level rates

             

Country-level screening rates (Quartiles)

11.28%–

ref.

           

26.57%–

1.61

1.01–2.56

0.044

1.18

0.91–1.52

0.203

      

30.27%–

1.75

1.24–2.46

0.001

1.27

1.00–1.61

0.051

      

41.74–47.34%

2.56

1.57–4.19

< 0.001

1.70

0.95–3.02

0.073

      

cons.

    

0.01

0.01–0.01

< 0.001

   

0.00

0.00–0.00

< 0.001

Random part

             

68 countries1

random intercept

   

0.04

0.02–0.09

    

0.06

0.03–0.13

 
  1. 1 This study includes 68 countries, with four European microstates included in neighboring (Andorra, Liechtenstein) or surrounding (Monaco, San Marino) countries, and with Albania, Montenegro and Kosovo merged to form a region; this results in 62 country-like entities included in the random part of the model
  2. Abbreviations: OR odds ratio; aOR adjusted odds ratio; CI confidence interval; STI sexually transmitted infection; NSP non-steady partner; PrEP pre-exposure prophylaxis
  3. Country labels: AD Andorra; AL Albania; AR Argentina; AT Austria; BA Bosnia-Herzegovina; BE Belgium; BO Bolivia; BU Bulgaria; BY Belarus; CH Switzerland; CL Chile; CO Colombia; CR Costa Rica; CY Cyprus; CZ Czech Republic; DE Germany; DK Denmark; EC Ecuador; EE Estonia; ES Spain; FI Finland; FR France; GR Greece; GT Guatemala; HN Honduras; HR Croatia; HU Hungary; IE Ireland; IL Israel; IS Iceland; IT Italy; LB Lebanon; LI Liechtenstein; LT Lithuania; LU Luxemburg; LV Latvia; MC Monaco; MD Moldova; ME Montenegro; MK Northern Macedonia; MT Malta; NI Nicaragua; NL Netherlands; NO Norway; PA Panama; PE Peru; PL Poland; PT Portugal; PY Paraguay; RO Romania; RS Serbia; RU Russia; SE Sweden; SK Slovakia; SL Slovenia; SM San Marino; SR Surinam; SV El Salvador; TR Turkey; UA Ukraine; UK United Kingdom; UY Uruguay; VE Venezuela; XK Kosovo