| Syphilis, all diagnoses | Syphilis, classified symptomatic | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Univariate analyses, (N = 198,604) | Multivariable analysis (N = 185,729) | Univariate analyses (N = 193,059) | Multivariable analysis (N = 187,364) | ||||||||||
OR | 95% CI | p | aOR | 95% CI | p | OR | 95% CI | p | aOR | 95% CI | p | ||
Region | Central-West Europe (AT, CH, DE, LI, LU) | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
West Europe (BE, FR, IE, NL, MC, UK) | 1.75 | 1.05–2.93 | 0.033 | 0.84 | 0.48–1.49 | 0.560 | 1.22 | 0.71–2.08 | 0.467 | 0.99 | 0.64–1.52 | 0.955 | |
Southwest Europe (AD, ES, IT, MT, PT, SM) | 1.46 | 0.84–2.54 | 0.177 | 1.29 | 0.88–1.91 | 0.191 | 1.86 | 1.06–3.29 | 0.032 | 1.67 | 1.07–2.62 | 0.024 | |
Northwest Europe (DK, FI, IS, NO, SE) | 0.51 | 0.29–0.88 | 0.016 | 0.51 | 0.35–0.76 | 0.001 | 0.57 | 0.31–1.05 | 0.073 | 0.64 | 0.38–1.06 | 0.085 | |
Northeast Europe (EE, LT, LV) | 0.54 | 0.25–1.16 | 0.113 | 0.75 | 0.40–1.43 | 0.381 | 0.32 | 0.07–1.42 | 0.133 | 0.38 | 0.09–1.64 | 0.194 | |
Central-East Europe (CZ, HU, PL, SK, SL) | 0.78 | 0.46–1.34 | 0.371 | 1.01 | 0.70–1.46 | 0.970 | 1.14 | 0.65–2.02 | 0.647 | 1.26 | 0.79–2.02 | 0.328 | |
Southeast Europe (AL, BA, BU, CY, HR, GR, HR, ME, MK, RO, RS, TR, XK) | 0.69 | 0.42–1.12 | 0.132 | 0.88 | 0.62–1.24 | 0.460 | 0.96 | 0.56–1.64 | 0.879 | 1.06 | 0.68–1.66 | 0.785 | |
East Europe (BY, MD, RU, UA) | 0.97 | 0.55–1.71 | 0.908 | 0.87 | 0.57–1.33 | 0.526 | 1.26 | 0.67–2.35 | 0.470 | 1.26 | 0.75–2.10 | 0.387 | |
Middle East (IL, LB) | 0.76 | 0.36–1.62 | 0.476 | 0.66 | 0.37–1.17 | 0.155 | 0.62 | 0.22–1.71 | 0.356 | 0.57 | 0.23–1.41 | 0.222 | |
Philippines | 0.46 | 0.20–1.10 | 0.080 | 0.57 | 0.31–1.05 | 0.072 | 0.47 | 0.18–1.25 | 0.130 | 0.57 | 0.25–1.29 | 0.178 | |
Canada | 1.05 | 0.46–2.42 | 0.902 | 0.56 | 0.26–1.20 | 0.137 | 0.72 | 0.31–1.71 | 0.460 | 0.68 | 0.34–1.35 | 0.268 | |
Mexico | 1.48 | 0.65–3.38 | 0.346 | 1.47 | 0.87–2.51 | 0.153 | 1.89 | 0.85–4.21 | 0.117 | 1.63 | 0.89–2.98 | 0.117 | |
Central America (CR, GT, HN, NI, PA, SV) | 1.64 | 0.98–2.74 | 0.057 | 1.86 | 1.29–2.67 | 0.001 | 1.97 | 1.12–3.44 | 0.018 | 2.30 | 1.45–3.66 | < 0.001 | |
Andean region (BO, EC, CO, PE, VE, SR) | 1.84 | 1.11–3.05 | 0.019 | 1.86 | 1.29–2.68 | 0.001 | 2.48 | 1.46–4.22 | 0.001 | 2.42 | 1.57–3.72 | < 0.001 | |
Southern Cone (AR, CL, UY, PY) | 2.04 | 1.18–3.53 | 0.011 | 1.74 | 1.17–2.58 | 0.006 | 3.03 | 1.72–5.33 | < 0.001 | 2.75 | 1.75–4.32 | < 0.001 | |
Brazil | 3.53 | 1.56–8.02 | 0.003 | 2.00 | 0.94–4.27 | 0.072 | 4.46 | 2.02–9.83 | < 0.001 | 3.71 | 2.04–6.73 | < 0.001 | |
Survey artefacts | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
French translation | no | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
yes | 1.92 | 1.66–2.23 | < 0.001 | 2.05 | 1.75–2.39 | < 0.001 | 1.09 | 0.76–1.55 | 0.645 | 1.21 | 0.86–1.71 | 0.281 | |
Major data discrepancies | no | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
yes | 1.35 | 1.28–1.43 | < 0.001 | 1.30 | 1.22–1.38 | < 0.001 | 1.23 | 1.11–1.37 | < 0.001 | 1.17 | 1.04–1.31 | 0.008 | |
Sample composition | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Age group | < 25 years | ref. |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
25–29 years | 1.69 | 1.58–1.80 | < 0.001 | 1.33 | 1.24–1.43 | < 0.001 | 1.67 | 1.47–1.89 | < 0.001 | 1.36 | 1.20–1.55 | < 0.001 | |
30–39 years | 1.95 | 1.84–2.08 | < 0.001 | 1.30 | 1.21–1.39 | < 0.001 | 1.92 | 1.71–2.16 | < 0.001 | 1.38 | 1.22–1.56 | < 0.001 | |
40–49 years | 1.99 | 1.86–2.13 | < 0.001 | 1.15 | 1.06–1.24 | 0.001 | 1.85 | 1.62–2.12 | < 0.001 | 1.21 | 1.05–1.40 | 0.008 | |
50 + years | 1.64 | 1.52–1.77 | < 0.001 | 0.97 | 0.89–1.06 | 0.521 | 1.48 | 1.26–1.73 | < 0.001 | 0.99 | 0.84–1.18 | 0.953 | |
Settlement size (inhabitants) | village/countryside (< 10,000) | ref. |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
small town (10,000–99,999) | 1.04 | 0.94–1.14 | 0.435 | 1.03 | 0.93–1.15 | 0.512 | 0.96 | 0.79–1.16 | 0.653 | 0.91 | 0.75–1.11 | 0.349 | |
medium town (100,000–499,999) | 1.17 | 1.07–1.28 | 0.001 | 1.07 | 0.97–1.18 | 0.166 | 1.09 | 0.91–1.31 | 0.354 | 0.97 | 0.80–1.16 | 0.711 | |
big city (500,000–999,999) | 1.40 | 1.27–1.53 | < 0.001 | 1.17 | 1.06–1.30 | 0.002 | 1.24 | 1.03–1.49 | 0.023 | 1.03 | 0.85–1.25 | 0.753 | |
very big city (≥ 1 million) | 1.59 | 1.46–1.74 | < 0.001 | 1.16 | 1.05–1.27 | 0.002 | 1.31 | 1.11–1.56 | 0.002 | 0.96 | 0.81–1.15 | 0.687 | |
Diagnosed HIV | no | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
yes | 5.27 | 5.05–5.50 | < 0.001 | 3.84 | 3.65–4.04 | < 0.001 | 4.11 | 3.78–4.46 | < 0.001 | 2.96 | 2.70–3.25 | < 0.001 | |
Financial coping | comfortable | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
neither struggling nor comfortable | 1.03 | 0.98–1.07 | 0.252 | 1.07 | 1.02–1.12 | 0.010 | 1.17 | 1.07–1.27 | 0.001 | 1.18 | 1.08–1.30 | < 0.001 | |
struggling | 1.15 | 1.09–1.21 | < 0.001 | 1.10 | 1.04–1.17 | 0.001 | 1.31 | 1.18–1.45 | < 0.001 | 1.21 | 1.09–1.36 | 0.001 | |
Testing behavior | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Last STI screen | no screening | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
> 6–12 months ago | 0.74 | 0.68–0.80 | < 0.001 | 0.61 | 0.56–0.67 | < 0.001 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
1–6 months ago | 1.54 | 1.46–1.62 | < 0.001 | 0.95 | 0.90–1.01 | 0.101 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
within the previous 4 weeks | 2.61 | 2.46–2.77 | < 0.001 | 1.43 | 1.34–1.53 | < 0.001 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
Sexual behavior | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Number of sex partners, previous 12 months | none or one | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
2–4 | 1.25 | 1.15–1.34 | < 0.001 | 1.06 | 0.94–1.18 | 0.358 | 1.30 | 1.11–1.52 | 0.001 | 0.94 | 0.76–1.18 | 0.617 | |
5–7 | 1.92 | 1.78–2.08 | < 0.001 | 1.46 | 1.29–1.65 | < 0.001 | 2.51 | 2.16–2.92 | < 0.001 | 1.59 | 1.26–2.00 | < 0.001 | |
8–10 | 2.26 | 2.07–2.47 | < 0.001 | 1.57 | 1.38–1.79 | < 0.001 | 2.89 | 2.44–3.42 | < 0.001 | 1.71 | 1.34–2.19 | < 0.001 | |
11–20 | 2.99 | 2.78–3.21 | < 0.001 | 1.87 | 1.66 --2.12 | < 0.001 | 3.58 | 3.10–4.14 | < 0.001 | 1.91 | 1.52–2.41 | < 0.001 | |
> 20 | 5.96 | 5.56–6.38 | < 0.001 | 2.74 | 2.43–3.09 | < 0.001 | 5.88 | 5.12–6.77 | < 0.001 | 2.51 | 1.99–3.16 | < 0.001 | |
Anal intercourse, condom use with last non-steady partner (NSP) | no anal intercourse with NSP | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
never condom with NSP | 3.25 | 2.95–3.58 | < 0.001 | 1.54 | 1.34–1.77 | < 0.001 | 3.46 | 2.82–4.24 | < 0.001 | 1.90 | 1.45–2.49 | < 0.001 | |
seldom condom with NSP | 5.82 | 5.35–6.33 | < 0.001 | 1.95 | 1.71–2.23 | < 0.001 | 5.72 | 4.81–6.81 | < 0.001 | 2.31 | 1.78–2.99 | < 0.001 | |
sometimes condom with NSP | 4.72 | 4.36–5.10 | < 0.001 | 1.79 | 1.58–2.04 | < 0.001 | 5.48 | 4.68–6.42 | < 0.001 | 2.30 | 1.80–2.95 | < 0.001 | |
mostly condom with NSP | 2.93 | 2.73–3.14 | < 0.001 | 1.41 | 1.25–1.59 | < 0.001 | 3.80 | 3.29–4.39 | < 0.001 | 1.87 | 1.47–2.37 | < 0.001 | |
always condom with NSP | 1.34 | 1.24–1.44 | < 0.001 | 0.83 | 0.73–0.94 | 0.003 | 1.62 | 1.39–1.89 | < 0.001 | 1.00 | 0.78–1.27 | 0.977 | |
no answer condom with NSP | 1.18 | 1.06–1.31 | 0.002 | 0.96 | 0.84–1.10 | 0.572 | 1.31 | 1.05–1.63 | 0.015 | 1.05 | 0.81–1.37 | 0.705 | |
PrEP use | never / don’t know | ref. |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
when needed | 2.09 | 1.78–2.46 | < 0.001 | 1.50 | 1.26–1.78 | < 0.001 | 2.12 | 1.50–2.98 | < 0.001 | 1.74 | 1.23–2.46 | 0.002 | |
former daily use | 2.68 | 2.10–3.42 | < 0.001 | 2.18 | 1.68–2.82 | < 0.001 | 1.34 | 0.71–2.52 | 0.361 | 1.00 | 0.51–1.95 | 0.995 | |
current daily use | 3.35 | 3.02–3.72 | < 0.001 | 1.85 | 1.65–2.07 | < 0.001 | 1.92 | 1.47–2.49 | < 0.001 | 1.14 | 0.86–1.50 | 0.364 | |
Multi-partner sex during last NSP sex | no | ref. | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
yes | 2.47 | 2.36–2.60 | < 0.001 | 1.31 | 1.23–1.38 | < 0.001 | 2.42 | 2.20–2.66 | < 0.001 | 1.35 | 1.22–1.49 | < 0.001 | |
Country level rates | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Country-level screening rates (Quartiles) | 11.28%– | ref. |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
26.57%– | 1.61 | 1.01–2.56 | 0.044 | 1.18 | 0.91–1.52 | 0.203 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
30.27%– | 1.75 | 1.24–2.46 | 0.001 | 1.27 | 1.00–1.61 | 0.051 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
41.74–47.34% | 2.56 | 1.57–4.19 | < 0.001 | 1.70 | 0.95–3.02 | 0.073 |  |  |  |  |  |  | |
cons. |  |  |  |  | 0.01 | 0.01–0.01 | < 0.001 |  |  |  | 0.00 | 0.00–0.00 | < 0.001 |
Random part | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
68 countries1 | random intercept |  |  |  | 0.04 | 0.02–0.09 |  |  |  |  | 0.06 | 0.03–0.13 |  |