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Table 1 Global deaths attributable to lead exposure in 1990 and 2019, and the temporal trend from 1990 to 2019

From: Patterns of global burden of 13 diseases attributable to lead exposure, 1990–2019

Cause of deaths

1990

 

2019

 

1990–2019

 

Deaths

No.×103 (95%UI)

ASMR

per 100 000 (95%UI)

Age-standardized

PAF, %

(95%UI)

 

Deaths

No.×103

(95% UI))

ASMR

per 100 000

(95%UI)

Age-standardized

PAF, %

(95%UI)

 

AAPC of

ASMR

(95%CI)

AAPC of age-standardized

PAF (95%CI)

 

All causes

           

 Both

529.84

(312.63, 772.03)

14.47

(8.40, 21.43)

1.30

(0.76, 1.93)

 

901.72

(550.91, 1288.85)

11.48

(7.00,16.49)

1.56

(0.95, 2.23)

 

-0.81

(-0.85, -0.77)

0.67

(0.62, 0.72)

 

 Female

196.71

(99.62, 309.96)

9.83

(4.87, 15.66)

1.03

(0.51, 1.64)

 

345.77

(188.45, 532.92)

7.88

(4.29,12.15)

1.28

(0.70, 1.96)

 

-0.76

(-0.87, -0.64)

0.76

(0.68, 0.83)

 

 Male

333.13

(210.41, 463.22)

20.52

(12.84, 28.84)

1.57

(0.99, 2.22)

 

555.95

(357.23, 766.84)

16.05

(10.26, 21.96)

1.84

(1.18, 2.52)

 

-0.85

(-0.94, -0.75)

0.53

(0.42, 0.64)

 

Disease type

           

Cardiovascular diseases

508.45

(299.71, 745.95)

13.89

(7.99, 20.55)

3.92

(2.28, 5.72)

 

848.78

(517.04, 1212.10)

10.80

(6.56, 15.50)

4.50

(2.77, 6.41)

 

-0.88

(-0.92, -0.83)

0.48

(0.41, 0.56)

 

 Rheumatic heart disease

9.39

(5.10, 16.10)

0.23

(0.12, 0.41)

2.55

(1.44, 4.40)

 

7.69

(4.09, 13.50)

0.10

(0.05, 0.17)

2.48

(1.32, 4.56)

 

-2.98

(-3.09, -2.88)

-0.10

(-0.21, 0.02)

 

 Ischemic heart disease

220.99

(124.89, 334.74)

6.12

(3.36, 9.46)

3.59

(2.00, 5.51)

 

413.04

(242.84, 615.75)

5.26

(3.08, 7.88)

4.46

(2.67, 6.58)

 

-0.54

(-0.59, -0.48)

0.74

(0.60, 0.88)

 

 Stroke

207.41

(124.08, 304.80)

5.53

(3.28, 8.22)

4.18

(2.52, 6.04)

 

305.27

(182.80, 435.67)

3.85

(2.30, 5.50)

4.57

(2.81, 6.56)

 

-1.25

(-1.36, -1.14)

0.31

(0.23, 0.39)

 

 Hypertensive heart disease

57.00

(22.33, 125.06)

1.61

(0.57, 3.54)

8.32

(3.04, 18.07)

 

97.49

(30.51, 225.24)

1.27

(0.39, 2.96)

8.38

(2.64, 18.73)

 

-0.82

(-0.97, -0.67)

0.03

(-0.02, 0.07)

 

 Non-rheumatic valvular heart disease

0.94

(0.41, 1.59)

0.03

(0.01, 0.05)

1.13

(0.49, 1.97)

 

1.92

(0.83, 3.40)

0.03

(0.01, 0.05)

1.15

(0.50, 2.06)

 

-0.29

(-0.49, -0.10)

0.05

(< 0.01, 0.10)

 

 Cardiomyopathy and myocarditis

2.56

(1.05, 4.52)

0.08

(0.03, 0.14)

1.09

(0.45, 1.97)

 

3.48

(1.45, 6.35)

0.04

(0.02, 0.08)

1.02

(0.43, 1.83)

 

-1.77

(-1.82, -1.71)

-0.22

(-0.58, 0.16)

 

 Atrial fibrillation and flutter

2.35

(1.21, 3.77)

0.08

(0.04, 0.13)

1.82

(0.93, 2.91)

 

7.10

(4.00, 11.09)

0.10

(0.05, 0.15)

2.20

(1.24, 3.34)

 

0.72

(0.66, 0.78)

0.64

(0.60, 0.69)

 

 Aortic aneurysm

1.99

(0.90, 3.39)

0.05

(0.02, 0.09)

1.97

(0.92, 3.19)

 

3.47

(1.74, 5.61)

0.04

(0.02, 0.07)

1.97

(1.02, 3.12)

 

-0.70

(-0.78, -0.62)

0.02

(-0.03, 0.06)

 

 Peripheral artery disease

0.30

(0.10, 0.68)

0.01

(0.00, 0.02)

0.97

(0.36, 1.79)

 

0.79

(0.30, 1.68)

0.01

(< 0.01, 0.02)

1.07

(0.43, 1.95)

 

0.24

(0.20, 0.29)

0.36

(0.30, 0.43)

 

 Endocarditis

0.61

(0.31, 1.02)

0.02

(0.01, 0.03)

2.13

(1.11, 3.41)

 

1.19

(0.55, 2.09)

0.02

(0.01, 0.03)

1.75

(0.81, 3.03)

 

-0.06

(-0.14, 0.02)

-0.67

(-0.71, -0.62)

 

 Other cardiovascular and circulatory diseases

4.90

(2.70, 7.84)

0.13

(0.07, 0.21)

2.46

(1.38, 3.75)

 

7.34

(4.30, 10.81)

0.09

(0.05, 0.14)

2.57

(1.56, 3.77)

 

-1.18

(-1.24, -1.13)

0.16

(0.11, 0.20)

 

Diabetes and kidney diseases

21.39

(12.89, 30.89)

0.59

(0.35, 0.85)

1.70

(1.03, 2.46)

 

52.94

(31.64, 76.23)

0.68

(0.40, 0.98)

1.79

(1.10, 2.56)

 

0.50

(0.39, 0.60)

0.15

(0.08, 0.23)

 

 Chronic kidney disease

21.39

(12.89, 30.89)

0.59

(0.35, 0.85)

3.63

(2.20, 5.22)

 

52.94

(31.64, 76.23)

0.68

(0.40, 0.98)

3.70

(2.28, 5.29)

 

0.50

(0.39, 0.60)

0.06

(-0.03, 0.14)

 
  1. Note: ASMR, age-standardized mortality rate; PAF, population attributable fraction; AAPC, average annual percentage change; UI, uncertainty interval; CI, confidence interval