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Table 1 Impact of public expenditures on mortality rates

From: What is the impact of national public expenditure and its allocation on neonatal and child mortality? A machine learning analysis

Treatment

Coefficient

(CI 95%)

(CI 99%)

(CI 99.9%)

Mean NeoRt 2018–2019

Mean NeoU5Rt 2018–2019

Impact analysis

Sensitivity analysis 1

Sensitivity analysis 2

Impact analysis

Sensitivity analysis 1

Sensitivity analysis 2

Log of Mean Total Public Exp 2013–2017

-0.635

(-1.176, -0.095)

(-1.35, 0.079)

(-1.555, 0.284)

-2.559

(-3.633, -1.486)

(-3.978, -1.141)

(-4.385, -0.734)

-7.247

(-11.504, -2.99)

(-12.874, -1.621)

(-14.497, 0.002)

-1.728

(-3.283, -0.173)

(-3.783, 0.326)

(-4.374, 0.917)

-4.326

(-7.085, -1.567)

(-7.971, -0.681)

(-9.019, 0.367)

-0.287

(-0.681, 0.108)

(-0.808, 0.235)

(-0.958, 0.384)

Log of Mean Health Public Exp 2013–2017

-2.17

(-3.051, -1.289)

(-3.334, -1.006)

(-3.67, -0.67)

-2.438

(-3.286, -1.589)

(-3.558, -1.317)

(-3.88, -0.995)

-2.445

(-3.299, -1.591)

(-3.573, -1.316)

(-3.898, -0.991)

-2.17

(-3.051, -1.289)

(-1.318, 6.143)

(-2.392, 7.217)

5.842

(3.375, 8.31)

(2.583, 9.101)

(1.648, 10.037)

-0.439

(-0.927, 0.049)

(-1.083, 0.206)

(-1.269, 0.392)

Log of Mean Other Sec Public Exp 2013–2017

-0.632

(-1.169, -0.095)

(-1.341, 0.078)

(-1.546, 0.282)

-2.478

(-3.602, -1.354)

(-3.962, -0.994)

(-4.389, -0.568)

-2.117

(-3.405, -0.829)

(-3.819, -0.415)

(-4.309, 0.076)

-1.772

(-3.216, -0.329)

(-3.679, 0.134)

(-4.228, 0.683)

-3.839

(-6.219, -1.459)

(-6.983, -0.695)

(-7.886, 0.208)

-1.49

(-2.752, -0.227)

(-3.157, 0.178)

(-3.637, 0.658)

  1. Legend: CI 95%: 95% Confidence Interval; Mean NeoRt 2018–2019: Average neonatal mortality rate of the years 2018 and 2019; Mean NeoU5Rt 2018–2019: Average children aged 28 days to five years old mortality rate of the years 2018 and 2019; Log of Mean Total Public Exp 2013–2017: Natural logarithm of average public expenditure per capita of the years 2013 to 2017; Log of Mean Health Public Exp 2013–2017: Natural logarithm of average health public expenditure per capita of the years 2013 to 2017; Log of Mean Other Sec Public Exp 2013–2017: Natural logarithm of average public expenditure in other sectors than health per capita of the years 2013 to 2017; Impact analysis: analysis with imputed data and using the model that produces the smallest coefficient of variation on weights; Sensitivity analysis 1: analysis without imputed data; Sensitivity analysis 2: analysis using the model that produces the largest coefficient of variation on weights