From: Estimating the risk of SARS-CoV-2 deaths using a Markov switching-volatility model combined with heavy-tailed distributions for South Africa
VaR Levels
Model
90%
95%
97.5%
99%
MS-GARCH-StD
1.1590
1.6936
2.3283
3.3976
MS-GARCH -SStD
1.2484
1.8413
2.5456
3.7292
MS-GARCH -NRIGD
1.3240
1.9420
2.5790
3.4418
MS-GARCH -PIVD
1.2500
1.8610
2.5967
3.8466