Table 1 Generalized structural equation model of \(\dot{C}_{i,t}\), \(\dot{D}_{i,t},M_{i,t}\), and \(SI_{i,t}\)

\(M_{i,t-7}\)

-0.0417***

\(M_{i,t-21}\)

-0.0162*

[-0.0578,-0.0256]

[-0.0304,-0.00199]

\(SI_{i,t-14}\)

\(SI_{i,t-28}\)

\(SI_{i,t-7}\)

1–10

-4.522

-7.336***

1–10

-3.346

[-10.40,1.350]

[-10.97,-3.701]

[-7.675,0.983]

11–20

-5.681*

-7.938***

11–20

-3.264

[-10.01,-1.352]

[-10.85,-5.022]

[-10.44,3.910]

21–30

-10.44***

-12.45***

21–30

-6.421*

[-14.73,-6.153]

[-15.16,-9.734]

[-12.29,-0.550]

31–40

-13.45***

-14.96***

31–40

-12.21***

[-17.42,-9.487]

[-17.71,-12.22]

[-15.98,-8.438]

41–50

-14.13***

-15.46***

41–50

-13.90***

[-18.04,-10.22]

[-18.14,-12.79]

[-17.54,-10.26]

51–60

-14.81***

-15.80***

51–60

-15.68***

[-18.70,-10.92]

[-18.45,-13.14]

[-19.40,-11.96]

61–70

-15.25***

-16.10***

61–70

-19.84***

[-19.18,-11.33]

[-18.80,-13.40]

[-23.80,-15.88]

71–80

-15.28***

-15.91***

71–80

-28.68***

[-19.19,-11.36]

[-18.59,-13.22]

[-32.76,-24.59]

81–90

-15.10***

-15.83***

81–90

-34.90***

[-19.04,-11.17]

[-18.57,-13.10]

[-39.67,-30.13]

91–100

-14.19***

-15.07***

91–100

-53.46***

[-18.23,-10.15]

[-17.84,-12.30]

[-59.67,-47.25]

\({Tpop_{i,t-14}}\)

-0.184

\({Tpop_{i,t-28}}\)

-0.126

\(\dot{C}_{i,t-7}\)

-0.214***

\(\dot{C}_{i,t-7}\)

0.0484***

[-0.404,0.0355]

[-0.315,0.0629]

[-0.255,-0.174]

[0.0354,0.0613]

\(V_{i,t-14}\)

-0.0170*

\(V_{i,t-28}\)

-0.0187*

\(I\left[ \dot{C}_{i,t-7}\right.\)

0.531***

[-0.0316,-0.00242]

[-0.0352,-0.00230]

\(\left. -\dot{C}_{i,t-14}\right]\)

[0.453,0.609]

\(TP_{i,t-14}(1)\)

-4.385***

\(TP_{i,t-28}(1)\)

-2.603*

[-6.824,-1.946]

[-4.671,-0.535]

\(TP_{i,t-14}(2)\)

-6.474***

\(TP_{i,t-28}(2)\)

-4.247***

[-8.964,-3.983]

[-6.369,-2.125]

\(TP_{i,t-14}(3)\)

-7.390***

\(TP_{i,t-28}(3)\)

-4.875***

[-9.926,-4.854]

[-7.086,-2.664]

\(CT_{i,t-14}(1)\)

-0.77

\(CT_{i,t-28}(1)\)

-0.567

[-1.973,0.434]

[-1.584,0.450]

\(CT_{i,t-14}(2)\)

-0.82

\(CT_{i,t-28}(2)\)

-0.572

[-1.986,0.345]

[-1.586,0.442]

\(\alpha ^{1}\)

21.96***

\(\alpha ^{2}\)

20.71***

\(\alpha ^{3}\)

3.328*

[17.92,25.99]

[18.30,23.13]

[0.0958,6.560]

\(\sigma _{\lambda ,1}^{2}\)

4.299***

\(\sigma _{\lambda ,2}^{2}\)

2.870***

\(\sigma _{\lambda ,4}^{2}\)

3.240***

[3.312,5.287]

[2.076,3.665]

[2.350,4.130]

\(\sigma _{\epsilon ,1}^{2}\)

22.22***

\(\sigma _{\epsilon ,2}^{2}\)

33.72***

\(\sigma _{\epsilon ,3}^{2}\)

200.4***

[17.82,26.62]

[29.39,38.04]

[160.2,240.5]