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Table 5 Trends and regression results for age at first sex by selected covariates in KAIS 2007, KAIS 2012 and KENPHIA 2018

From: Methods for conducting trends analysis: roadmap for comparing outcomes from three national HIV Population-based household surveys in Kenya (2007, 2012, and 2018)

 

Summary Analysis

Survey weighted Regression

Variable

N

Mean (95% CI)

Median (Range)

Unadjusted β (95% CI)

p-value

Adjusted β (95% CI)

p-value

Year of survey

 2007

5093

17.45(17.32–17.58)

16.9(21)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 2012

4144

17.74(17.57–17.9)

17.2(28)

0.31(0.09–0.52)

0.0048

-0.24(-0.62–0.15)

0.2291

 2018

8055

17.66(17.54–17.78)

17.2(45)

0.24(0.06–0.42)

0.009

-0.89(-1.68–0.11)

0.0251

Sex

 Female

10,504

17.77(17.63–17.91)

17.2(34)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Male

6788

17.47(17.3–17.64)

16.9(45)

-0.33(-0.54–0.13)

0.0014

-0.96(-1.17–0.75)

 < .0001

Age

 20–24

9097

17.44(17.32–17.56)

17.1(44)

1.00 (Reference)

   

 25–29

8195

17.86(17.69–18.03)

17.1(45)

0.38(0.2–0.56)

 < 0.001

0.27(0.19–0.36)

 < .0001

Cohort

 1975–1979

916

17.56(17.31–17.82)

16.9(21)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 1980–1984

3197

17.6(17.42–17.78)

16.9(28)

0.01(-0.29–0.31)

0.9525

0.56(0.14–0.97)

0.0086

 1984–1989

4438

17.75(17.59–17.91)

17.2(28)

0.2(-0.09–0.5)

0.1811

1.25(0.53–1.96)

 < 0.001

 1990–1994

5366

17.47(17.27–17.66)

17.3(45)

-0.05(-0.38–0.28)

0.7678

1.56(0.56–2.57)

0.0024

 1995–1999

3375

17.27(17.11–17.42)

17.1(27)

-0.27(-0.57–0.04)

0.0836

1.68(0.31–3.06)

0.0165

Place of residence

 Urban

7280

18.01(17.81–18.22)

17.4(45)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Rural

10,012

17.38(17.24–17.51)

16.9(44)

-0.64(-0.9–0.39)

 < 0.001

0.05(-0.23–0.34)

0.7261

Level of education

 No education

1307

16.31(15.79–16.84)

15.4(28)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Primary

7807

17.09(16.96–17.22)

16.5(34)

0.8(0.27–1.34)

0.0032

0.66(0.17–1.15)

0.0085

 Secondary + 

8177

18.48(18.29–18.66)

17.9(45)

2.2(1.65–2.74)

 < 0.001

1.68(1.16–2.19)

 < .0001

Marital status

 Never married

6924

18.32(18.16–18.48)

17.8(44)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Separated/Divorced/Widowed

539

16.65(16.3–17)

16(22)

-1.67(-2.04–1.29)

 < 0.001

-1.78(-2.16–1.39)

 < .0001

 Married/Living together

9212

17.2(17.06–17.34)

16.6(45)

-1.12(-1.31–0.93)

 < 0.001

-1.38(-1.58–1.18)

 < .0001

Wealth index

 Poorest

3311

16.98(16.69–17.28)

16.4(44)

1.00 (Reference)

 

1.00 (Reference)

 

 Poorer

3011

17.2(16.96–17.45)

16.6(34)

0.23(-0.13–0.58)

0.2148

-0.01(-0.32–0.3)

0.9562

 Middle

3114

17.34(17.13–17.54)

17(28)

0.38(0.02–0.74)

0.039

0.07(-0.25–0.4)

0.668

 Richer

3621

17.75(17.54–17.95)

17.1(45)

0.79(0.43–1.15)

 < 0.001

0.33(0–0.67)

0.0531

 Richest

4235

18.31(18.08–18.55)

17.8(28)

1.33(0.95–1.71)

 < 0.001

0.51(0.11–0.91)

0.0134

  1. Abbreviations: CI Confidence Interval, KAIS Kenya AIDS Indicator survey, KENPHIA Kenya Population-based HIV Impact Assessment