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Table 6 Performance of risk score of Model II based on the development dataset from the 2010, 2011–2012, and 2012–2013 prevention of mother-to-child transmission surveys, South Africa. (n = 4222, AUROC = 0.71)

From: A risk measurement tool for targeted HIV prevention measures amongst young pregnant and lactating women in South Africa

Cut point

Sensitivity

Specificity

Non-cumulative proportion of women at each cut point (%)

(> = 0)

100.00%

0.00%

0.02

(> = 7)

100.00%

0.03%

0.69

(> = 8)

99.21%

0.71%

0.21

(> = 11)

99.21%

0.93%

0.21

(> = 12)

99.21%

1.16%

0.09

(> = 14)

99.21%

1.26%

2.91

(> = 15)

98.82%

4.33%

3.86

(> = 16)

98.03%

8.39%

0.4

(> = 18)

98.03%

8.82%

1.42

(> = 19)

96.85%

10.26%

1.23

(> = 20)

96.06%

11.52%

0.07

(> = 21)

96.06%

11.59%

2.3

(> = 22)

96.06%

14.04%

16.84

(> = 23)

90.16%

31.58%

3.77

(> = 24)

89.76%

35.56%

0.02

(> = 25)

89.76%

35.58%

1.47

(> = 26)

88.19%

37.05%

6.8

(> = 27)

84.25%

44.03%

1.33

(> = 29)

83.46%

45.39%

10.61

(> = 30)

76.38%

56.22%

14.09

(> = 31)

60.24%

70.16%

0.43

(> = 33)

59.84%

70.59%

7.32

(> = 34)

49.21%

77.70%

5.85

(> = 35)

40.94%

83.39%

0.09

(> = 37)

40.94%

83.49%

8

(> = 38)

25.59%

91.03%

1.28

(> = 41)

22.83%

92.21%

7.15

(> = 42)

5.91%

98.74%

0.26

(> = 45)

5.12%

98.97%

0.76

(> = 49)

2.36%

99.60%

0.52

(> 49)

0.00%

100.00%