Table 2 National ARIMA model fitting results for the incidence of Class B notifiable infectious diseases
Year | Actual value | Forecast | Relative error (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
2007 | 272.37 | 272.47 | 0.04 |
2008 | 267.93 | 269.68 | 0.65 |
2009 | 263.29 | 264.69 | 0.53 |
2010 | 238.47 | 251.91 | 5.64 |
2011 | 241.44 | 237.75 | 1.53 |
2012 | 238.75 | 237.78 | 0.41 |
2013 | 225.8 | 232.02 | 2.75 |
2014 | 226.97 | 221.99 | 2.19 |
2015 | 223.6 | 223.24 | 0.16 |
2016 | 215.68 | 219.68 | 1.85 |
2017 | 222.06 | 208.09 | 6.29 |
2018 | 220.51 | 214.99 | 2.50 |
2019 | 219.98 | 211.92 | 3.66 |