Predictors of migration in an HIV hyper-endemic rural South African community: evidence from a population-based cohort (2005–2017)

Table 4 Determinants of out-migration in a rural South African cohort study (N = 69 604)

	Category	HR	SE	95% CI	aHR	SE	95% CI
Sex: [Female]	Male	1.24***	0.01	1.21 – 1.26	0.97***	0.01	0.95 – 0.99
Age category: [≥ 40y]	15-19y	3.29***	0.06	3.17 – 3.42	2.05***	0.05	1.96—2.14
	20-24y	5.19***	0.11	5.71 – 6.13	3.11***	0.06	2.99 – 3.24
	25-29y	4.56***	0.09	4.39 – 4.74	2.30***	0.05	2.20 – 2.40
	30-34y	3.11***	0.07	2.98 – 3.25	1.63***	0.04	1.56 – 1.72
	35-39y	2.32***	0.06	2.20 – 2.43	1.38***	0.04	1.31 – 1.45
Educational attainment: [Primary]	None	1.13***	0.03	1.08 – 1.19	0.90***	0.02	0.85 – 0.94
	Secondary	2.31***	0.05	2.21 – 2.40	1.26***	0.03	1.21 – 1.31
	Tertiary	1.76***	0.05	1.66 – 1.87	1.26***	0.04	1.19 – 1.34
	Unknown education status	1.63***	0.04	1.56 – 1.72	0.91***	0.02	0.87 – 0.96
Marital status: [Currently married]	Single	4.66***	0.13	4.42 – 4.92	2.28***	0.07	2.15 – 2.41
	Separated/Divorced	0.64***	0.03	0.58 – 0.70	0.86***	0.04	0.78 – 0.95
	Unknown marital status	4.45***	0.13	4.20 – 4.71	2.58***	0.09	2.42 – 2.76
HIV status: [HIV-]	HIV +	2.58***	0.05	2.48 – 2.68	2.44***	0.05	2.35 – 2.54
HIV status: [HIV-]	Unknown HIV status	4.65***	0.07	4.53 – 4.79	4.15***	0.06	4.03 – 4.26
ART coverage	ART %	1.59***	0.06	1.49 – 1.69	0.84***	0.03	0.79 – 0.91

aHR (Adjusted Hazard Ratio), SE (Standard error), ART (Antiretroviral Therapy), CI (Confidence intervals), HR (Hazard ratio), HIV- (HIV Negative) HIV + (HIV positive). Final models were adjusted for sex, age, educational attainment, marital status, HIV status and community ART coverage
^***p < 0.05 [Reference category in brackets]

ISSN: 1471-2458