Table 1 Excess and COVID-19-related deaths in Latvia from weeks 14 to 52 in 2020
WOY | Dates | Observed deaths | Expected deaths (95%PI) | Estimated excess deaths (95%PI) | Estimated excess mortality per 100 000 (95%PI) | COVID-19 caused deaths | COVID-19 contributing deaths | Total COVID-19 related deaths | Excess deaths (%) related to COVID-19 (95%CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | 01/04 – 07/04 | 564 | 518 (472 to 565) | 46 (-1 to 92) | 2.42 (-.0.05 to 4.83) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4.35 (1.20 to 14.53) |
15 | 08/04 – 14/04 | 538 | 507 (462 to 554) | 31 (-16to 76) | 1.63 (-.0.84 to 3.99) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9.68 (3.35 to 24.90) |
16 | 15/04 – 21/04 | 530 | 495 (450 to 542) | 35 (-12 to 80) | 1.84 (-0.63 to 4.2) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8.57 (2.96 to 22.38) |
17 | 22/04 – 28/04 | 531 | 485 (439 to 531) | 46 (0 to 92) | 2.42 (0 to 4.83) | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8.70 (3.43 to 20.32) |
18 | 29/04 – 05/05 | 519 | 477 (431 to 524) | 42 (-5 to 88) | 2.21 (-.0.26 to 4.62) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7.14 (2.46 to 19.01) |
19 | 06/05 – 12/05 | 454 | 471 (428 to 516) | -17 (-62 to 26) | -0.89 (-3.26 to 1.37) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | 13/05 – 19/05 | 587 | 466 (422 to 512) | 121 (75 to 165) | 6.36 (3.94 to 8.67) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.65 (0.45 to 5.83) |
21 | 20/05 – 26/05 | 529 | 461 (417 to 506) | 68 (23 to 112) | 3.57 (1.21 to 5.89) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.94 (0.81 to 10.10) |
22 | 27/05 – 02/06 | 498 | 456 (413 to 500) | 42 (-2 to 85) | 2.21 (-0.11to 4.47) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.38 (0.12 to 12.32) |
23 | 03/06 – 09/06 | 502 | 451 (408 to 496) | 51 (6 to 94) | 2.68 (0.32 to 4.94) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.96 (0.10 to 10.30) |
24 | 10/06 – 16/06 | 495 | 449 (405 to 494) | 46 (1 to 90) | 2.42 (0.05 to 4.73) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6.52 (2.24 to 17.50) |
25 | 17/06 – 23/06 | 520 | 449 (407 to 494) | 71 (26 to 113) | 3.73 (1.37 to 5.94) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0 to 5.13) |
26 | 24/06 – 30/06 | 567 | 450 (407 to 494) | 117 (73 to 160) | 6.16 (3.84 to 8.42) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0 to 3.18) |
27 | 01/07 – 07/07 | 509 | 451 (408 to 496) | 58 (13 to 101) | 3.05 (0.68 to 5.31) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0 to 6.21) |
28 | 08/07 – 14/07 | 472 | 451 (408 to 497) | 21 (-25 to 64) | 1.10 (-1.32 to 3.37) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4.76 (0.24 to 22.67) |
29 | 15/07 – 21/07 | 524 | 449 (407 to 494) | 75 (30 to 117) | 3.95 (1.58 to 6.16) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0 to 4.87) |
30 | 22/07 – 28/07 | 497 | 445 (402 to 488) | 52 (9 to 95) | 2.74 (0.47 to 5) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0 to 6.88) |
31 | 29/07 – 04/08 | 450 | 440 (397 to 484) | 10 (-34 to 53) | 0.53 (-1.79 to 2.79) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10.00 (0.51 to 40.42) |
32 | 05/08 – 11/08 | 520 | 435 (393 to 479) | 85 (41 to 127) | 4.47 (2.16 to 6.68) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0 to 4.32) |
33 | 12/08 – 18/08 | 520 | 433 (390 to 476) | 87 (44 to 130) | 4.58 (2.32 to 6.84) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.15 (0.06 to 6.23) |
34 | 19/08 – 25/08 | 512 | 432 (390 to 476) | 80 (36 to 122) | 4.21 (1.9 to 6.42) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0 to 5.92) |
35 | 26/08 – 01/09 | 467 | 434 (391 to 478) | 33 (-11 to 76) | 1.74 (-0.58 to 4) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.03 (0.16 to 15.32) |
36 | 02/09 – 08/09 | 472 | 438 (395 to 481) | 34 (-9 to 77) | 1.79 (-0.47 to 4.05) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.94 (0.15 to 14.92) |
37 | 09/09 – 15/09 | 506 | 445 (402 to 488) | 61 (18 to 104) | 3.21 (0.95 to 5.48) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0 to 5.92) |
38 | 16/09 – 22/09 | 468 | 453 (410 to 498) | 15 (-30 to 58) | 0.79 (-1.58 to 3.05) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6.67 (0.34 to 29.82) |
39 | 23/09 – 29/09 | 545 | 462 (417 to 507) | 83 (38 to 128) | 4.37 (2 to 6.74) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.20 (0.06 to 6.51) |
40 | 30/09 – 06/10 | 516 | 468 (423 to 514) | 48 (2 to 93) | 2.53 (0.11 to 4.9) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4.17 (1.15 to 13.98) |
41 | 07/10 – 13/10 | 514 | 471 (426 to 517) | 43 (-3 to 88) | 2.27 (0 to 4.64) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.33 (0.12 to 12.06) |
42 | 14/10 – 20/10 | 561 | 472 (428 to 517) | 89 (44 to 133) | 4.69 (2.32 to 7.01) | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6.74 (3.13 to 13.94) |
43 | 21/10 – 27/10 | 565 | 471 (427 to 517) | 94 (48 to 138) | 4.95 (2.53 to 7.27) | 9 | 6 | 15 | 15.96 (9.92 to 24.67) |
44 | 28/10 – 03/11 | 546 | 471 (427 to 516) | 75 (30 to 119) | 3.95 (1.58 to 6.27) | 13 | 8 | 21 | 28.00 (19.10 to 39.04) |
45 | 04/11 – 10/11 | 560 | 471 (426 to 516) | 89 (44 to 134) | 4.69 (2.32 to 7.06) | 9 | 6 | 15 | 16.85 (10.49 to 25.96) |
46 | 11/11 – 17/11 | 570 | 473 (430 to 518) | 97 (52 to 140) | 5.11 (2.74 to 7.38) | 28 | 11 | 39 | 40.21 (31.00 to 50.16) |
47 | 18/11 – 24/11 | 600 | 477 (433 to 523) | 123 (77 to 167) | 6.49 (4.06 to 8.81) | 40 | 12 | 52 | 42.28 (33.91 to 51.11) |
48 | 25/11 – 01/12 | 626 | 483 (436 to 530) | 143 (96 to 190) | 7.54 (5.06 to 10.02) | 48 | 20 | 68 | 47.55 (39.54 to 55.69) |
49 | 02/12 – 08/12 | 670 | 491 (444 to 537) | 179 (133 to 226) | 9.44 (7.02 to 11.92) | 79 | 28 | 107 | 59.78 (52.46 to 66.68) |
50 | 09/12 – 15/12 | 738 | 500 (454 to 549) | 238 (189 to 284) | 12.56 (9.97 to 14.98) | 112 | 41 | 153 | 64.29 (58.02 to 70.10) |
51 | 16/12 –22/12 | 735 | 510 (463 to 558) | 225 (177 to 272) | 11.87 (9.34 to 14.35) | 139 | 35 | 174 | 77.33 (71.43 to 82.32) |
52 | 23/12 – 29/12 | 794 | 519 (471 to 570) | 275 (224 to 323) | 14.51 (11.82 to 17.05) | 158 | 42 | 200 | 72.73 (67.18 to 77.65) |
TOTAL | 01/04 – 29/12 | 21291 | 18180 | 3111 (1339 to 4832) | 163.77 (70.49 to 254.37) | 662 | 222 | 884 | 28.42 (26.86 to 30.03) |