Table 2 Predicted prevalence of tobacco use in the Base and Modified Case
Year | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sex | Case | Tobacco use | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 |
Males | Base | Never cigarettes | 42.3 | 47.9 | 52.8 | 57.0 | 59.9 | 61.6 |
Former cigarettes | 32.8 | 33.6 | 33.1 | 31.4 | 29.6 | 28.1 | ||
Current cigarettes | 25.0 | 18.5 | 14.1 | 11.6 | 10.5 | 10.3 | ||
Modified | Never any product | 42.3 | 47.9 | 52.8 | 57.0 | 59.9 | 61.6 | |
Former cigarettes | 32.8 | 33.6 | 33.1 | 31.4 | 29.6 | 28.1 | ||
Current cigarettes only | 25.0 | 18.1 | 13.2 | 9.9 | 8.3 | 7.8 | ||
Current ZYN only | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | ||
Current dual use | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | ||
Females | Base | Never cigarettes | 56.2 | 58.6 | 60.5 | 62.2 | 64.0 | 64.9 |
Former cigarettes | 23.9 | 26.4 | 27.9 | 27.7 | 26.7 | 25.6 | ||
Current cigarettes | 19.9 | 15.0 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 9.3 | 9.4 | ||
Modified | Never any product | 56.2 | 58.6 | 60.5 | 62.2 | 64.0 | 65.0 | |
Former cigarettes | 23.9 | 26.4 | 27.9 | 27.7 | 26.7 | 25.5 | ||
Current cigarettes only | 19.9 | 14.6 | 11.0 | 8.6 | 7.3 | 7.0 | ||
Current ZYN only | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | ||
Current dual use | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | ||
Combined | Base | Never cigarettes | 49.6 | 53.5 | 56.8 | 59.7 | 62.0 | 63.3 |
Former cigarettes | 28.1 | 29.9 | 30.4 | 29.5 | 28.1 | 26.9 | ||
Current cigarettes | 22.3 | 16.7 | 12.8 | 10.8 | 9.9 | 9.8 | ||
Modified | Never any product | 49.6 | 53.5 | 56.7 | 59.7 | 62.0 | 63.3 | |
Former cigarettes | 28.1 | 29.9 | 30.4 | 29.5 | 28.1 | 26.8 | ||
Current cigarettes only | 22.3 | 16.3 | 12.1 | 9.3 | 7.8 | 7.4 | ||
Current ZYN only | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | ||
Current dual use | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | ||