Table 4 Model goodness of fit: balance of predictor variables between Hong Kong and the synthetic control unit during the pre-treatment period (Panel C)
Phase Two: Extension of border restriction policies with mainland | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Outcomes | Cumulative infections (Fig. 6) | new infections (Fig. 7) | |
Predictors | Real HK | Synthetic HK | Synthetic HK |
# of Cumulative Infections (14-day moving average) | 1028.14 | 1029.40 | 1026.21 |
# of Infections per 10,000 people (14-day moving average) | 1.3799 | 1.3456 | 1.3143 |
Region GDP (million yuan) | 2,398,046 | 1,653,744 | 2,091,070 |
GDP per capita (yuan) | 321,842 | 290,743 | 248,028 |
# of people per sq.km) | 6,737 | 9,141 | 6,775 |
# of Hospital Beds per 10,000 persons | 54.27 | 63.90 | 74.40 |
# of Medics per 10,000 persons | 19.66 | 42.80 | 48.17 |
Temperature (℃) | 24.68 | 22.47 | 22.33 |
Relative Humidity (%) | 77.29 | 75.05 | 77.03 |
Wind Speed (m/s) | 4.98 | 2.49 | 2.44 |
Air Quality Index (AQI) | 62.71 | 56.56 | 52.08 |
RMSPE | 0.4458 | 0.6267 | |