Fig. 3

The estimated reduction in mortality for each vaccine allocation strategy. The reduction in mortality by allocation strategy for a A) stochastic simulations assuming vaccine acceptance of 70%, rollout speed where 50% of health care workers were mandated to vaccinate 20 people a day, start day of 10 days following initial seeding event, and the number of total doses equals 20% of the population; B) by varying the total vaccine supply (other assumptions assumed to be the base scenario, see Materials and Methods); C) using a range of vaccine acceptance rates; D) various roll out speeds; and E) the start date of vaccination. The median and 50 stochastic simulations are shown per sensitivity analysis