Fig. 2

One dimension of COVID-19 risk in carceral facilities: potential risk of larger outbreaks increases with more densely populated units and larger shared airspaces.

Note. Whereas ‘facility design capacity’ is an architectural definition that does not have salience for risk of COVID-19 infection (i.e., a prison can be below design capacity and still pose an insurmountable superspreader risk absent decarceration), risk of larger outbreaks increases with more densely populated units and larger shared airspace. Risk of infection increases with the number and proportion of positive cases. This figure does not account for other known transmission routes apart from the unit, which can drastically change risk for onward transmission (e.g., via ventilation systems that may recirculate rebreathed air laden with virus)