Scenario (duration) | Start date | End date | Referral rate: mean [bias-corrected bootstrapped CI] | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over period before school holidays or lockdown | During period of school holidays or lockdown | Over period post school holidays or lockdown | |||
Spring 2017 (12 days) | 10.04.17 | 21.04.17 | 13 [3.48,22.52] | 12.35 [11.52,13.22] | 12.11 [11.14,13.08] |
Summer 2017 (37 days) | 26.07.17 | 01.09.17 | 11.23 [10.83,11.62] | 9.7 [9.26,10.13] | 11.4 [10.93,11.87] |
Winter 2017 (17 days) | 21.12.17 | 07.01.17 | 9.188 [9.637,9.743] | 7.7 [6.723,8.676] | 13.02 [11.926,14.078] |
Spring 2018 (19 days) | 29.03.18 | 16.04.18 | 11.58 [10.56,12.61] | 9.33 [8,78,9.89] | 10.5 [9.89,11.11] |
Summer 2018 (48 days) | 20.07.18 | 05.09.18 | 12.63 [11.92,13.35] | 10.43 [0.46,11.82] | 15.44 [14.75,16.14] |
Winter 2018 (15 days) | 19.12.18 | 03.01.19 | 14.62 [13.29,15.94] | 12.3 [10.29,14.31] | 12.25 [11.57,12.92] |
Spring 2019 (15 days) | 13.04.19 | 28.04.19 | 16.89 [15.54, 18.25] | 14.14 [13.18 15.11] | 13.1 [12.22,13.78] |
Summer 2019 (48 days) | 20.07.19 | 06.09.19 | 13.27 [12.67,13.87] | 12.06 [11.45,12.67] | 15.54 [14.62,16.47] |
Winter 2019 (17 days) | 20.12.19 | 06.01.20 | 16.36 [15.12,17.60] | 9.27 [7.52,11.02] | 18.05 [17.01,19.09] |
March–June 2020 (1st national lockdown) (68 days) | 23.03.20 | 01.06.20 | 16.98 [16.18,17.78] | 11.25 [10.33,15.14] | 14.23 [13.34,15.14] |
March–June 2019 (analogous period to 1st lockdown) (68 days) | 23.03.19 | 01.06.19 | 14.86 [14.24,15.48] | 13.81 [13.18,14.44] | 13.21 [12.79,13.62] |
Summer 2020 (42 days) | 20.07.20 | 01.09.20 | 15.54 [14.76,16.32] | 10.28 [9.68,10.89] | 11.18 [10.71,11.65] |