Table 3 Model outputs as compared to calibration target data
From: Optimal timing and effectiveness of COVID-19 outbreak responses in China: a modelling study
Target description | Value | Model output - mean (95% credible interval) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
Calibration targets | |||
Number of clinically confirmed COVID-19 cases aged 60 years or older in Wuhan on Mar 9, 2020 | 15,384 | 15,573 (15,337 - 15,819) | Chinese CDC [11] |
Reported number of COVID-19 deaths in Wuhan as of Mar 9 2020 | 2,404 | 2,404 (2,274 - 2,530) | Chinese CDC [11] |
Proportion of reported COVID-19 deaths as of Feb 11 2020, by age | Chinese CDC [12] | ||
0-19 years old | 0.1% | 0.08% (0.01% - 0.18%) | |
20-59 years old | 18.9% | 18.88% (18.05% - 19.52%) | |
60+ years old | 81.0% | 81.04% (80.30% - 81.94%) | |