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Table 1 Model parameters, assumptions, and references

From: Effect of public health interventions during the first epidemic wave of COVID-19 in Cyprus: a modelling study

Parameters Value References
Cyprus population 876,000 [18]
Incubation period 5 days [19]
Latent period+ 4 days (e.g., 1 day prior to the occurrence of symptom) [14]
Duration of infectious period until recovery 6 days [2]
Duration from the development of symptoms to recovery 5 days [2]
Median length of stay in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) bed 13.5 days [4]
Disease mortality in ICU 41% [4, 20]
Proportion of infections that will be either asymptomatic or mild (Fm)
Proportion of infections that will progress to severe disease (Fs)
Proportion of infections that will progress to critical disease (Fc)
Fm = 86.0%
Fs = 11.5%
Fc = 2.5%
Fit to the observed deaths, hospitalized cases, and use of ICU beds
Duration of hospitalization
Duration of ICU and non-ICU stay
15 days
20 days