Table 2 Effect of complete border closure on the projected cumulative COVID-19 case & mortality at R0 = 2.2 and different R0 down to 1.6Â
From: Modelling the impact of travel restrictions on COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong in early 2020
| Â | Without border closure (Daily traveller 200,000) | Complete border closure (Daily traveller 0) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Case reduction | Death averted | Percent reduction | |||
(@4.30%) | (@1.36%) | ||||
R0 2.2 | 29,163 | 4079 | 175 | 56 | 13.99% |
RE 2.1 | 19,078 | 2616 | 112 | 35 | 13.71% |
RE 2.0 | 12,402 | 1661 | 71 | 23 | 13.39% |
RE 1.9 | 8061 | 1088 | 45 | 14 | 13.50% |
RE 1.8 | 5157 | 650 | 28 | 9 | 12.60% |
RE 1.7 | 3305 | 400 | 17 | 5 | 12.10% |
RE1.6 | 2114 | 244 | 11 | 4 | 11.54% |