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Table 3 Comparison of premature mortality rate (%) projected for 2030 with the 2015 level

From: Current status of premature mortality from four non-communicable diseases and progress towards the Sustainable Development Goal target 3.4: a population-based study in northeast China, 2004–2017

 

Urban + Rural

Urban

Rural

2030

2015

2030

2015

2030

2015

Male

 NCD4

47.91 (37.55,61.84)

24.00

54.48 (38.60, 77.67)

23.87

37.57 (34.42, 41.00)

24.40

 CVDs

27.42 (20.79, 36.01)

13.18

30.97 (19.46, 48.77)

12.99

21.53 (18.35, 25.56)

13.65

 Cancer

21.71 (17.31, 27.54)

10.90

25.10 (18.78, 32.96)

10.85

16.98 (13.98, 20.90)

11.11

 DM

8.15 (2.96, 22.38)

1.04

11.46 (3.69, 35.81)

1.18

3.49 (1.35, 8.97)

0.72

 CRDs

0.50* (0.39, 0.65)

0.70

0.48* (0.33, 0.67)

0.67

0.48** (0.28, 0.85)

0.78

Female

 NCD4

18.47 (14.40, 23.93)

12.46

19.13 (13.58, 26.78)

11.78

18.49 (14.43, 23.29)

14.18

 CVDs

7.34 (5.23, 10.25)

5.78

7.05 (4.75, 10.49)

5.17

8.24 (5.85, 11.54)

7.29

 Cancer

10.44 (8.30, 13.25)

5.9

10.82 (7.89, 14.94)

5.92

10.34 (8.83, 12.27)

5.94

 DM

2.55 (1.65, 4.01)

0.83

3.09 (1.74, 5.50)

0.77

2.00 (0.95, 4.13)

0.97

 CRDs

0.15** (0.11, 0.20)

0.43

0.12** (0.06, 0.24)

0.34

0.17** (0.12, 0.23)

0.62

Male +Female

 NCD4

33.32 (26.51, 43.02)

18.31

36.95 (27.01, 50.95)

17.87

28.09 (25.26, 31.74)

19.45

 CVDs

17.02 (12.65, 22.80)

9.49

18.52 (12.20, 28.29)

9.06

14.73 (13.24, 16.36)

10.53

 Cancer

16.03 (13.24, 19.68)

8.38

17.66 (13.87, 22.40)

8.34

13.70 (12.15, 15.51)

8.55

 DM

4.85 (2.42, 9.60)

0.93

6.51 (3.29, 13.12)

0.97

2.50 (1.17, 5.43)

0.85

 CRDs

0.30** (0.24, 0.39)

0.56

0.28** (0.18, 0.42)

0.50

0.29** (0.20, 0.42)

0.70

  1. The projected PMRs for 2030 and 95% confidence interval are presented; *nearly achieving the target; **achieving the target
  2. Abbreviations: CRD chronic respiratory disease, CVD cardiovascular disease, DM diabetes mellitus, NCD4 four non-communicable diseases