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Table 3 Comparison of premature mortality rate (%) projected for 2030 with the 2015 level

From: Current status of premature mortality from four non-communicable diseases and progress towards the Sustainable Development Goal target 3.4: a population-based study in northeast China, 2004–2017

  Urban + Rural Urban Rural
2030 2015 2030 2015 2030 2015
Male
 NCD4 47.91 (37.55,61.84) 24.00 54.48 (38.60, 77.67) 23.87 37.57 (34.42, 41.00) 24.40
 CVDs 27.42 (20.79, 36.01) 13.18 30.97 (19.46, 48.77) 12.99 21.53 (18.35, 25.56) 13.65
 Cancer 21.71 (17.31, 27.54) 10.90 25.10 (18.78, 32.96) 10.85 16.98 (13.98, 20.90) 11.11
 DM 8.15 (2.96, 22.38) 1.04 11.46 (3.69, 35.81) 1.18 3.49 (1.35, 8.97) 0.72
 CRDs 0.50* (0.39, 0.65) 0.70 0.48* (0.33, 0.67) 0.67 0.48** (0.28, 0.85) 0.78
Female
 NCD4 18.47 (14.40, 23.93) 12.46 19.13 (13.58, 26.78) 11.78 18.49 (14.43, 23.29) 14.18
 CVDs 7.34 (5.23, 10.25) 5.78 7.05 (4.75, 10.49) 5.17 8.24 (5.85, 11.54) 7.29
 Cancer 10.44 (8.30, 13.25) 5.9 10.82 (7.89, 14.94) 5.92 10.34 (8.83, 12.27) 5.94
 DM 2.55 (1.65, 4.01) 0.83 3.09 (1.74, 5.50) 0.77 2.00 (0.95, 4.13) 0.97
 CRDs 0.15** (0.11, 0.20) 0.43 0.12** (0.06, 0.24) 0.34 0.17** (0.12, 0.23) 0.62
Male +Female
 NCD4 33.32 (26.51, 43.02) 18.31 36.95 (27.01, 50.95) 17.87 28.09 (25.26, 31.74) 19.45
 CVDs 17.02 (12.65, 22.80) 9.49 18.52 (12.20, 28.29) 9.06 14.73 (13.24, 16.36) 10.53
 Cancer 16.03 (13.24, 19.68) 8.38 17.66 (13.87, 22.40) 8.34 13.70 (12.15, 15.51) 8.55
 DM 4.85 (2.42, 9.60) 0.93 6.51 (3.29, 13.12) 0.97 2.50 (1.17, 5.43) 0.85
 CRDs 0.30** (0.24, 0.39) 0.56 0.28** (0.18, 0.42) 0.50 0.29** (0.20, 0.42) 0.70
  1. The projected PMRs for 2030 and 95% confidence interval are presented; *nearly achieving the target; **achieving the target
  2. Abbreviations: CRD chronic respiratory disease, CVD cardiovascular disease, DM diabetes mellitus, NCD4 four non-communicable diseases