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Table 1 The summary of main parameters

From: The effect of the universal two-child policy on medical insurance funds with a rapidly ageing population: evidence from China’s urban and rural residents’ medical insurance

Parameters

Reference values

Settings

Participation rate of URRBMI

≥95% (2020 year)

100%

Household registration urbanization rate

45.4% (2020 year)

The average annual growth rate is 1%, reaching a peak of 75% in 2050

Per capita disposable income of rural residents

16,021 yuan (2019 year)

Between 2021 and 2025, the average annual growth rate will be 10%, followed by a decrease of 0.5% every five years

Bank interest rate

1.1% (2015 year)

Remain unchanged during the forecast period

Per capita financing standard

781 yuan (2019 year)

Set regarding the growth rate of rural residents’ per capita disposable income

Per capita medical expenses

1405.7 yuan (2019 year)

Decomposition calculation using “growth factor” method

Actual compensation ratio

56.86% (2019 year)

Remain unchanged during the forecast period

  1. Note: Affected by the COVID-19, the data in 2020 will fluctuate greatly, so some of the values use the data in 2019. The data are all sourced from the official websites of the National Bureau of Statistics and the National Healthcare Security Administration in China, and some are further calculated by the author based on the official website data