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Table 2 Total effects of social distancing policies on COVID-19 cases and deaths

From: State variation in effects of state social distancing policies on COVID-19 cases

  Cumulative Daily Cases Cumulative Daily Deaths
Total Effects of Social Distancing Policies RR (95% CI) RR (95% CI)
 Primary Analysis (all states) 0.85 (0.83, 0.86) 0.88 (0.86, 0.91)
 Sensitivity Analysis a 0.86 (0.85, 0.87) 0.90 (0.87, 0.92)
  Change in predicted cases per 100,000 (95% CI) Change in predicted deaths per 100,000 (95% CI)
 Difference at 14 days − 518.92 (− 827.70, − 210.14) −11.02 (− 23.57, 1.54)
 Difference at 21 days −4175.46 (− 6910.06, − 1440.86) −77.60 (− 168.81, 13.61)
  1. RR relative risk, CI confidence interval, NEB non-essential businesses
  2. Note: negative numbers represent cases or deaths prevented
  3. a Sensitivity Analysis included all states except New York and New Jersey