Fig. 2
From: State variation in effects of state social distancing policies on COVID-19 cases
Estimated COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents prevented by social distancing policies within 3 weeks. Notes: Figure generated using Stata 16.0 to present results of the authors’ analysis of New York Times COVID-19 US data base. Cumulative daily COVID-19 cases (January 21 to May 7, 2020) were estimated using a generalized linear model with a negative binomial distribution and a log link and offset to account for state population. For each state, we used the method of recycled predictions to compare predicted cumulative cases with social distancing compared to without social distancing at 3 weeks after the date of school closure. Estimates are presented in the supplemental material