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Table 12 A comparison between the percent of runs that lead to an outbreak (2 or more infected agents) and the percent of runs where at least one agent is infected from outside of Drumkeeran when schools are closed based on distance to the initial town and the 95% confidence intervals for those and the P-value comparing the results to the vaccination only model

From: Using a hybrid agent-based and equation based model to test school closure policies during a measles outbreak

Intervention

Outbreak

Outside Drumkeeran

P-value

Vaccinations Only

63.3

49.7

-

 

(57.9, 68.8)

(44.0, 55.3)

 

Drumkeeran

62.0

50.3

0.95

 

(56.5, 67.5)

(44.7, 56.0)

 

Drumahaire

58.3

43.7

0.16

 

(52.8,63.9)

(38.0, 49.3)

 

Killanummery

54.7

45.6

0.37

 

(49.0,60.3)

(40.0, 51.3)

 

Drumshanbo

63.7

48.7

0.87

 

(56.5,67.5)

(43.0, 54.3)

 

Manorhamilton

64.0

48.7

0.87

 

(58.6,69.4)

(43.0, 54.3)

 

Leitrim (town)

56

44.3

0.22

 

(50.4,61.6)

(38.7, 50.0)

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