Table 2 Evaluating the predictive performance of the nine models for neonatal mortality: 2003–2014 Ghana Demographic and Health Surveys
From: Geospatial analysis of determinants of neonatal mortality in Ghana
Models | variables | Neonatal Mortality | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Adjusted for all models | Persons year at risk, and year of survey | AIC | BIC | cvAUROC |
Model 1 = Household factors | Age of the household head, sex of the household head, place of residence, household size, zone location, access to an improved water source, access to improved water facility, household ownership of bed-net | 8,390,012 | 8,390,131 | 58.0% |
Model 2 = Child characteristics | Sex of the child, multiple births, birth order, birth spacing, size of the baby at birth | 7,709,512 | 7,709,616 | 66.0% |
Model 3 = Maternal factors | Mothers age at birth, marital status, literacy, parity, type of delivery, place of delivery, early breastfeeding, contraceptive use, history of terminating a pregnancy | 5,761,778 | 5,761,889 | 61.0% |
Model 4 = Model 1 + Model 3 | Household factors + Maternal factors | 5,586,465 | 5,586,672 | 63.0% |
Model 5== Model 1 + Model 2 | Household factors + Child characteristics | 7,528,049 | 7,528,250 | 67.0% |
Model 6 = Model 2 + Model 3 | Child +Maternal factors | 5,335,693 | 5,335,886 | 73.0% |
Model 7 = Model 1 + Model 2+ Model 3 | Household factors + Maternal factors+ Child factors | 5,156,220 | 5,156,509 | 73.0% |
Model 8 = Geospatial covariates | The length of the growing season in months, environmental temperature, population density, the prevalence of malaria, proximity to a protected area, net vegetation index, livestock goat. | 7,663,200 | 7,663,348 | 54% |
Model 9 = Model 7+ Model 8 | Household factors + Maternal factors+ Child factors+ Geospatial covariates | 4,589,203 | 4,589,614 | 74% |