Skip to main content

Table 3 AIC values, BIC values, RMSE and MAPE for different SARIMA models

From: Forecasting the incidence of mumps in Chongqing based on a SARIMA model

 

AIC

BIC

Goodness of Fits for Models

RMSE

MAPE(%)

SARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,0)12

57.34

69.52

0.2686

41.2841

SARIMA(0,1,2)(1,1,0)12

61.93

74.11

0.2734

44.7352

SARIMA(1,1,1)(0,1,1)12

34.42

46.60

0.2450

40.5910

SARIMA(2,1,1)(0,1,1)12

30.05

45.27

0.2392

44.3186

SARIMA(1,1,2)(0,1,1)12

31.14

46.36

0.2402

43.0071