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Table 1 Overview of the most significant changes in the ECR profiles. For each country we summarize which governmental measures were taken in close proximity to the changes estimated in the ECR \( \hat{\beta} \). The numerical values of the \( \hat{\beta} \) before and after the measures are presented together with the relative and absolute change

From: How did governmental interventions affect the spread of COVID-19 in European countries?

Country

Date

Measures

ECR (β) change

Relative change

Absolute change

Italy

02–23

Closure of schools + banning events in red zone

9.14 → 1.60

0.83

7.54

03–07

Lockdown in red zone

1.56 → 1.28

0.18

0.28

03–10

Full lockdown

1.28 → 0.91

0.29

0.37

03–17

None (enforced police force)

0.91 → 0.46

0.49

0.45

Spain

03–10

Closure of schools + banning events in red zone

3.14 → 1.18

0.62

1.96

03–22

None (enforced police force)

1.18 → 0.48

0.59

0.70

Germany

03–15

Closure of schools + event banning (+ railway reduction)

2.02 → 0.68

0.66

1.34

03–25

Lockdown

0.68 → 0.31

0.54

0.37

UK

03–15

None (increased to high risk level)

1.71 → 1.08

0.37

0.63

03–24

Lockdown

1.08 → 0.74

0.32

0.34

03–31

None (information to public)

0.74 → 0.37

0.50

0.37

Netherlands

03–17

Closure of schools + restaurants (+ request to stay inside)

1.21 → 0.93

0.23

0.28

03–24

Lockdown (fines + enforced police force)

0.93 → 0.34

0.63

0.59

Belgium

03–13

Closure of schools + restaurants + banning events

1.44 → 1.30

0.10

0.14

03–25

None (lockdown extended)

1.30 → 0.34

0.74

0.96

Sweden

03–12

Banning events + warnings to public

0.88 → 0.57

0.35

0.21

03–29

Stricter measures banning events

0.57 → 0.45

0.21

0.12