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Table 3 The best fitted SARIMA model for meteorological variables in Zahedan district, Iran

From: The effect of climate variables on the incidence of Crimean Congo Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF) in Zahedan, Iran

Model Variables   Lag Estimate SE T P-value
  Monthly patients MA Lag 1 −0.89 0.048 −18.5 0.001
   Seasonal difference 1     
   MA, seasonal Lag 1 −0.30 0.19 −1.54 0.12
  Maximum temperature   Lag 5 −0.26 0.11 −2.27 0.02
  1. Log likelihood = −-188.86, AIC: 4.10, AICc: 4.10, BIC: 4.20