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Table 3 The best fitted SARIMA model for meteorological variables in Zahedan district, Iran

From: The effect of climate variables on the incidence of Crimean Congo Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF) in Zahedan, Iran

Model

Variables

 

Lag

Estimate

SE

T

P-value

 

Monthly patients

MA

Lag 1

−0.89

0.048

−18.5

0.001

  

Seasonal difference

1

    
  

MA, seasonal

Lag 1

−0.30

0.19

−1.54

0.12

 

Maximum temperature

 

Lag 5

−0.26

0.11

−2.27

0.02

  1. Log likelihood = −-188.86, AIC: 4.10, AICc: 4.10, BIC: 4.20