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Table 7 Multivariate multilevel multinomial regression of child, maternal, household and community-level factors associated with age-specific under-five mortality, 2016/2017 Nigeria MICS

From: Inequities in child survival in Nigerian communities during the Sustainable Development Goal era: insights from analysis of 2016/2017 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey

 

Model 0

Model 5 (Final model)

Ref: alive

(N = 18,219)

Intercept-only

RRR (95%CI)

Neonatal mortality (0–27 days)

RRR (95%CI)

Post-neonatal mortality (28 days-11 months)

RRR (95%CI)

Child mortality (12 months to 11 months)

RRR (95%CI)

Child-level factors

 Child’s sex

  Male

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  Female

 

0.67 (0.55–0.81)***

0.80 (0.65–0.98)*

1.02 (0.80–1.30)

 Gestation type

  Single

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  Multiple

 

5.77 (4.07–8.17)***

2.28 (1.52–3.44)***

1.33 (0.70–2.53)

 Previous birth interval

  < 2 years

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  First birth

 

1.26 (0.84–1.90)

1.82 (1.18–2.82)**

1.68 (1.07–2.63)*

  ≥ 2 years

 

0.38 (0.30–0.49)***

0.57 (0.44–0.73)***

0.48 (0.36–0.64)***

 Maternal age at birth

  < 20 years

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  20–34 years

 

0.46 (0.33–0.62)***

0.84 (0.58–1.23)

0.66 (0.44–0.99)*

  ≥ 35 years

 

0.36 (0.24–0.55)***

0.71 (0.42–1.21)

0.52 (0.30–0.93)*

Maternal-level factors

 Maternal education

  None/primary

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  Secondary

 

0.85 (0.62–1.17)

0.68 (0.47–0.97)*

0.77 (0.50–1.17)

  Post-secondary

 

1.13 (0.64–2.02)

0.74 (0.39–1.43)

0.34 (0.12–1.03)

 Maternal wealth index

  Poor

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  Middle

 

1.30 (0.98–1.71)

1.15 (0.85–1.57)

1.07 (0.80–1.45)

  Rich

 

1.35 (0.94–1.93)

1.37 (0.94–2.01)

0.57 (0.35–0.92)*

 Death of previous children

  < 3

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  3–4

 

9.07 (6.48–12.68)***

5.23 (3.71–7.37)***

6.12 (4.42–8.47)***

  ≥ 5

 

10.01 (5.75–17.44)***

10.52 (6.21–17.82)***

7.78 (4.74–12.77)***

 Parity

  < 3

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  3–4

 

1.77 (1.25–2.53)***

2.42 (1.57–3.73)***

3.87 (2.46–6.08)***

  ≥ 5

 

1.54 (0.96–2.46)

1.76 (1.06–2.93)*

3.66 (2.18–6.17)***

 Skilled birth attendants during deliverya

  None

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  Skilled

 

1.39 (1.02–1.90)*

0.72 (0.49–1.07)

0.75 (0.50–1.12)

  Unskilled

 

1.08 (0.81–1.45)

1.07 (0.78–1.47)

0.87 (0.66–1.15)

 Contraceptive use

  Yes

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  No

 

1.22 (0.82–1.84)

0.97 (0.58–1.60)

3.34 (1.27–8.81)*

Community-level factors

 Place of residence

  Urban

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  Rural

 

1.08 (0.79–1.47)

1.66 (1.13–2.45)**

1.15 (0.74–1.79)

 Region

  North-Central (NC)

 

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

  North-East (NE)

 

0.75 (0.53–1.06)

0.93 (0.64–1.34)

1.05 (0.67–1.64)

  North-West (NW)

 

1.07 (0.82–1.40)

1.15 (0.86–1.54)

1.63 (1.09–2.41)*

  South-East (SE)

 

0.45 (0.27–0.76)**

0.94 (0.54–1.65)

0.85 (0.40–1.80)

  South-South (SS)

 

0.50 (0.32–0.79)**

0.99 (0.61–1.60)

0.57 (0.29–1.13)

  South-West (SW)

 

1.28 (0.87–1.88)

1.00 (0.58–1.70)

0.96 (0.43–2.17)

Random effects (community-level)

Variance (SE)

95%CI

0.49 (0.05)

0.41,0.60

0.30 (0.05)

0.22, 0.42

PCV

Ref.

38.78%

MOR

1.95

1.68

  1. ***p-value< 0.001 **p-value< 0.01 *p-value< 0.05; adata available for only women with a live birth in the 2 years preceding the survey; SE Robust standard error, RRR Relative risk ratio, CI Confidence interval, PCV Proportional change in variance, MOR Median odds ratio