Temporal dynamics in total excess mortality and COVID-19 deaths in Italian cities

BMC Public Health

Table 1 Quota of excess mortality from COVID-19 deaths and from displaced deaths, by geographical area^a, age and sex

	Total excess mortality during COVID-19^b	COVID-19 deaths	% COVID-19^c	Deficit mortality before COVID-19^d	% displaced mortality^e
NORTHERN ITALY (COVID-19 period starts on February 29th, 2020)
Overall	5028	2601	52%	− 787	16%
Age (years)
15–64	210	205	98%	− 141	67%
65–74	429	388	90%	−214	50%
75–84	1522	957	63%	− 404	27%
85+	2871	1051	37%	−22	1%
Sex
Males	2532	1590	63%	− 383	15%
Females	2496	1011	41%	−404	16%
CENTRAL and SOUTHERN ITALY (COVID-19 period starts on March 11th, 2020)
Overall	839	522	62%	-1063	> 100%
Age (years)
15–64	19	59	> 100%	− 168	> 100%
65–74	79	87	> 100%	−137	> 100%
75–84	207	182	88%	− 578	> 100%
85+	539	194	36%	−164	31%
Sex
Males	474	318	67%	− 324	68%
Females	365	204	56%	− 738	> 100%

^a northern Italy (top): 12 cities; central and southern Italy (bottom): 19 cities
^b Calculated as the difference between observed mortality and baseline in the COVID-19 period
^c Calculated as the ratio between COVID-19 deaths and total excess mortality in the COVID-19 period
^d Calculated as the difference between observed mortality and baseline in the period before COVID-19
^e Calculated as the ratio between deficit mortality in the period before COVID-19 and total excess mortality during COVID-19

ISSN: 1471-2458