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Table 1 Actual and forecast data base on the SARIMA model of 2017 in China

From: Spatiotemporal characteristics and the epidemiology of tuberculosis in China from 2004 to 2017 by the nationwide surveillance system

Time

Actual data

Forecast

95% CI

2017–01

55.55

59.2274

48.993

69.4617

2017–02

52.77431

52.2003

40.387

64.0136

2017–03

56.12181

59.8545

46.6497

73.0593

2017–04

53.10116

55.6036

41.1406

70.0667

2017–05

55.25359

54.9492

39.3289

70.5695

2017–06

52.24164

51.6317

34.9343

68.3292

2017–07

50.66754

50.1129

32.4037

67.8222

2017–08

51.08064

50.2320

31.5657

68.8983

2017–09

45.82495

46.2891

26.7124

65.8657

2017–10

45.77132

46.8417

26.3953

67.2882

2017–11

44.10445

43.1599

21.8792

64.4406

2017–12

42.79198

41.0710

18.9875

63.1545