Using data on snus use in Sweden to compare different modelling approaches to estimate the population health impact of introducing a smoke-free tobacco product

Table 3 Increase in deaths in Sweden if snus had not been introduced – summary of results

	Lung cancer	COPD	IHD	Stroke
Approach 1	77,762	32,538	77,438	76,946
Approach 1 (Adjusted)	28,535	11,265	−50,597	23,146
Approach 2	8786	1781	10,409	1720
PHIM f = 0.0, g = 1.0	7931	1969	12,501	1901
PHIM f = 0.0, g = 1.0 (survival adjusted)	7573	1781	10,907	1443
PHIM f = 0.1, g = 0.9	7849	1970	12,386	1865
PHIM f = 0.1, g = 1.0	7423	1868	11,784	1781
PHIM f = 0.1, g = 1.1	7004	1767	11,186	1697
PHIM f = 0.2, g = 1.0	6932	1770	11,082	1663
PHIM g = 0.9, f = 0.0	8367	2072	13,110	1986
PHIM g = 0.8, f = 0.0	8812	2175	13,724	2072
PHIM g = 0.5, f = 0.0	10,198	2493	15,597	2333

Table 3 shows the increase in the number of deaths that would have occurred in the years 1980–2009 in Swedish males aged 30–79 years if snus had not been introduced, as estimated by the different Approaches

ISSN: 1471-2458