Table 2 Odds ratios (OR) for comparison between AWCET and NWCET

All-cause mortality

Average temperature < = 5th percentile

1.706 [1.682, 1.731]

1.630 [1.608, 1.651]

1.794 [1.770, 1.819]

1.707 [1.685, 1.728]

1.705 [1.679, 1.732]

1.629 [1.605, 1.652]

1.825 [1.798, 1.853]

1.734 [1.710, 1.758]

Average temperature < = 3rd percentile

1.877 [1.837, 1.919]

1.775 [1.740, 1.810]

2.011 [1.968, 2.054]

1.890 [1.854, 1.928]

1.937 [1.892, 1.983]

1.822 [1.783, 1.862]

2.108 [2.059, 2.157]

1.966 [1.925, 2.008]

Average temperature < = 1st percentile

2.463 [2.303, 2.634]

2.211 [2.088, 2.341]

2.768 [2.588, 2.960]

2.457 [2.321, 2.601]

2.514 [2.356, 2.683]

2.261 [2.136, 2.393]

2.947 [2.764, 3.142]

2.617 [2.474, 2.768]

Cardiovascular mortality

Average temperature < = 5th percentile

1.718 [1.668, 1.770]

1.640 [1.596, 1.685]

1.802 [1.752, 1.854]

1.713 [1.669, 1.758]

1.704 [1.650, 1.758]

1.627 [1.580, 1.675]

1.817 [1.762, 1.875]

1.726 [1.677, 1.775]

Average temperature < = 3rd percentile

1.880 [1.798, 1.967]

1.777 [1.706, 1.851]

2.011 [1.924, 2.101]

1.891 [1.817, 1.968]

1.932 [1.841, 2.028]

1.817 [1.739, 1.899]

2.092 [1.995, 2.193]

1.951 [1.870, 2.037]

Average temperature < = 1st percentile

2.595 [2.233, 3.015]

2.311 [2.034, 2.625]

2.959 [2.544, 3.440]

2.602 [2.290, 2.956]

2.564 [2.232, 2.946]

2.296 [2.035, 2.590]

2.961 [2.584, 3.393]

2.623 [2.330, 2.954]

Respiratory mortality

Average temperature < = 5th percentile

1.691 [1.642, 1.741]

1.615 [1.573, 1.659]

1.771 [1.723, 1.821]

1.686 [1.644, 1.729]

1.719 [1.665, 1.774]

1.641 [1.594, 1.689]

1.838 [1.782, 1.896]

1.745 [1.696, 1.796]

Average temperature < = 3rd percentile

1.853 [1.773, 1.938]

1.753 [1.683, 1.825]

1.983 [1.898, 2.071]

1.866 [1.793, 1.941]

1.939 [1.849, 2.034]

1.824 [1.746, 1.905]

2.107 [2.010, 2.209]

1.965 [1.883, 2.051]

Average temperature < = 1st percentile

2.438 [2.125, 2.798]

2.191 [1.949, 2.464]

2.756 [2.404, 3.160]

2.449 [2.181, 2.751]

2.501 [2.196, 2.849]

2.256 [2.013, 2.528]

2.945 [2.590, 3.350]

2.622 [2.341, 2.937]

Cancer-related mortality

Average temperature < = 5th percentile

1.708 [1.665, 1.753]

1.631 [1.593, 1.670]

1.803 [1.760, 1.848]

1.715 [1.676, 1.754]

1.706 [1.659, 1.755]

1.630 [1.589, 1.672]

1.829 [1.780, 1.880]

1.737 [1.694, 1.781]

Average temperature < = 3rd percentile

1.887 [1.813, 1.964]

1.783 [1.719, 1.849]

2.020 [1.943, 2.101]

1.899 [1.833, 1.968]

1.936 [1.854, 2.022]

1.821 [1.751, 1.895]

2.113 [2.025, 2.205]

1.971 [1.896, 2.048]

Average temperature < = 1st percentile

2.337 [2.087, 2.615]

2.110 [1.917, 2.322]

2.594 [2.318, 2.902]

2.319 [2.109, 2.550]

2.404 [2.144, 2.697]

2.169 [1.962, 2.397]

2.845 [2.539, 3.187]

2.529 [2.290, 2.794]