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Table 6 Yearly alarms and ADD for the best performing model: the seasonal logistic random intercept model using ES-allavg data with l=7, Θ=0.20, interpolated missing values in the training data

From: Methods for detecting seasonal influenza epidemics using a school absenteeism surveillance system

School Year False Alarms True Alarms ADD
2010–2011 0 1 13
2011–2012 8 1 14
2012–2013 0 0 55
2013–2014 1 1 14
2014–2015 0 4 3
2015–2016 0 1 14
2016–2017 0 8 0
2017–2018 0 3 8
  1. Mean FAR = 0.299, mean ADD = 15.13