Estimates of past and future time trends in age-specific breast cancer incidence among women in Karachi, Pakistan: 2004–2025

Table 3 Past and future predicted age-specific breast cancer incidence estimates (2004–2025)

Age-groups (in years)	Observed Incidence (2004–2015)						Functional Time Series Model					Log-Linear Regression Model
Age-groups (in years)	2004–2005	2006–2007	2008–2009	2010–2011	2012–2013	2014–2015	2016–2017	2018–2019	2020–2021	2022–2023	2024–2025	2016–2017	2018–2019	2020–2021	2022–2023	2024–2025
15–19	8	4	3	4	3	3	6	6	6	7	8	2	2	2	2	0
20–24	18	15	18	19	27	36	35	39	43	49	55	38	44	52	61	71
25–29	48	53	59	59	84	93	101	113	128	144	163	100	114	130	147	167
30–34	89	87	103	101	152	173	214	243	275	310	350	178	205	236	272	315
35–39	181	151	174	158	237	287	278	310	343	380	420	273	301	333	368	406
40–44	190	194	231	224	312	440	410	459	512	571	634	444	524	617	727	857
45–49	175	184	214	214	286	379	411	462	518	580	645	378	438	509	590	683
50–54	169	197	212	204	285	351	407	457	510	567	630	336	382	432	491	556
55–59	106	125	164	139	213	284	321	365	413	466	523	306	367	441	529	635
60–64	103	114	149	141	161	215	211	232	254	278	302	227	259	296	339	387
65–69	60	65	70	59	82	117	136	152	170	189	210	111	124	140	157	177
70–74	36	39	40	54	67	68	65	71	77	83	90	81	94	110	127	147
75 & above	9	24	29	45	36	49	55	59	63	67	71	66	83	106	133	168
Age-specific breast cancer incidence cases per 100,000 persons per year.

ISSN: 1471-2458