Estimating the public health impact of disbanding a government alcohol monopoly: application of new methods to the case of Sweden

Stockwell, Tim; Sherk, Adam; Norström, Thor; Angus, Colin; Ramstedt, Mats; Andréasson, Sven; Chikritzhs, Tanya; Gripenberg, Johanna; Holder, Harold; Holmes, John; Mäkelä, Pia

doi:10.1186/s12889-018-6312-x

Table 9 Estimated number of alcohol-attributable hospital stays in Sweden under Scenarios 1 and 2, by disease category, age group and gender

From: Estimating the public health impact of disbanding a government alcohol monopoly: application of new methods to the case of Sweden

		Male			Female			Total
		AAH	Scen1	Scen2	AAH	Scen1	Scen2	AAH	Scen1	Scen2
Cancers	15 to 34	29	35	36	30	38	43	59	73	79
	35 to 64	800	952	999	591	734	819	1391	1686	1818
	65+	1079	1234	1283	540	646	707	1619	1880	1990
	Subtotal	1908	2221	2318	1160	1417	1569	3068	3638	3887
Mental health conditions	15 to 34	2793	3216	3321	1920	2313	2473	4713	5529	5794
	35 to 64	14,042	16,287	16,841	4792	5765	6155	18,834	22,052	22,996
	65+	3685	4287	4438	939	1129	1208	4624	5416	5646
	Subtotal	20,520	23,790	24,600	7652	9207	9837	28,172	32,997	34,437
Cardio-vascular conditions	15 to 34	139	164	172	33	53	65	172	217	237
	35 to 64	340	728	845	− 891	− 682	− 550	− 551	46	295
	65+	− 2296	− 1825	− 1676	− 5258	− 5072	− 4932	− 7554	− 6897	− 6608
	Subtotal	− 1818	− 933	− 659	− 6117	− 5701	− 5417	− 7935	− 6634	− 6076
Digestive conditions	15 to 34	140	170	179	68	119	158	208	289	337
	35 to 64	904	1095	1155	267	362	425	1171	1457	1580
	65+	452	521	543	141	164	181	593	685	724
	Subtotal	1496	1785	1877	476	646	763	1972	2431	2640
Injuries	15 to 34	2765	3076	3175	1312	1542	1665	4077	4618	4840
	35 to 64	2822	3210	3324	1008	1214	1329	3830	4424	4653
	65+	1651	1925	2008	1008	1230	1358	2659	3155	3366
	Subtotal	7237	8210	8508	3328	3986	4352	10,565	12,196	12,860
Infectious diseases	15 to 34	164	195	204	108	136	153	272	331	357
	35 to 64	430	507	531	209	255	282	639	762	813
	65+	922	1075	1122	416	502	551	1338	1577	1673
	Subtotal	1516	1777	1857	733	894	987	2249	2671	2844
Type 2 diabetes	15 to 34	2	2	2	−11	−12	−12	−9	−10	−10
	35 to 64	26	30	31	−123	− 128	− 130	−97	−98	−99
	65+	30	33	34	− 297	−313	−321	− 267	− 280	−287
	Subtotal	58	65	68	−431	− 453	− 463	−373	−388	− 395
Total for all conditions	15 to 34	6031	6857	7089	3459	4190	4545	9490	11,047	11,634
	35 to 64	19,364	22,807	23,727	5852	7520	8331	25,216	30,327	32,058
	65+	5522	7251	7753	− 2511	− 1714	− 1248	3011	5537	6505
	Subtotal	30,917	36,915	38,569	6801	9997	11,628	37,718	46,912	50,197

NB: rows and columns may not add exactly due to rounding. AAH = alcohol-attributable hospital stays. Scen1 = predicted increase in hospital stays in Scenario 1. Scen2 = predicted increase in hospital stays in Scenario 2

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ISSN: 1471-2458

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