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Table 5 Estimated impacts of each privatisation scenario on alcohol-related harm based on ARIMA analyses of Swedish time series data

From: Estimating the public health impact of disbanding a government alcohol monopoly: application of new methods to the case of Sweden

Harm measure Total Sweden 2014 Scenario 1 Scenario 2
N, % (95% CIs) N, % (95% CIs)
Alcoholic cirrhosis deaths 429 160 (111–211) 273 (186–371)
+ 37.2% (25.9–45.2%) + 63.7% (43.3–86.5%)
Injury deaths 1833 399 (61–797) 660 (96–1384)
+ 21.8% (3.3–45.5%) + 36.0% (5.3–75.5%)
Suicide deaths 1142 291 (161–436) 485 (261–750)
+ 25.5%) + 42.4% (22.9–65.6%)
Total deaths 3404 850 (334–1444) 1418 (543–2505)
+ 25.0% (9.8–42.4%)) + 41.7% (16.0–73.6%)
Assault crimes 83,324 17,407 (13,549-21,225) 28,680 (22,063-35,369)
+ 20.9% (16.3–25.5) + 34.4% (26.5–42.4%)
Drink-driving 13,769 4669 (2388-7273) 7940 (3900-12,903)
+ 33.9% (17.3–52.8%) + 57.7% (28.3%93.7%)