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Table 5 PA components prediction

From: Patterns and correlates of physical activity in adult Norwegians: a forecasted evolution up to 2025 based on machine learning approach

 

Frequency

Duration

Intensity

1985

2013

2025

1999

2013

2025

1999

2013

2025

Male

< 25

1.02

1.27

1.44 ± 0.06

1.62

1.42

0.92 ± 0.04

1.63

1.65

2.45 ± 0.18

25–44

0.75

1.10

1.22 ± 0.04

1.31

1.27

1.21 ± 0.07

1.40

1.51

1.53 ± 0.14

45–64

0.76

1.10

1.36 ± 0.08

1.25

1.22

1.15 ± 0.02

0.98

1.12

1.19 ± 0.09

> 65

0.88

1.22

1.35 ± 0.08

1.13

1.19

1.03 ± 0.04

0.64

0.87

0.66 ± 0.08

Female

< 25

0.89

1.30

2.07 ± 0.18

1.37

1.31

1.30 ± 0.08

1.46

1.60

1.62 ± 0.12

25–44

0.69

1.12

1.80 ± 0.17

1.18

1.11

1.03 ± 0.06

1.14

1.32

1.23 ± 0.08

45–64

0.90

1.26

1.66 ± 0.11

1.19

1.18

1.13 ± 0.04

0.77

1.03

0.84 ± 0.02

> 65

0.69

1.26

1.42 ± 0.09

1.00

1.08

1.13 ± 0.05

0.49

0.74

1.10 ± 0.05

  1. Frequency: Values lower than 1 refer to Frequency less than twice every 14 days; values from 1 to 2 refer to Frequency from once to twice a week; values higher than 2 refer to Frequency more than three times a week
  2. Duration: Values lower than 1 refer to duration less than 30 min; values from 1 to 2 refer to duration between 30 and 60 min; values higher than 2 refer to duration higher than 60 min
  3. Intensity: Values lower than 1 refer to intensity ‘I feel that my body becomes warm’; values from 1 to 2 refer to intensity from ‘I feel that my body becomes warm’ to ‘I feel I breathe harder and get sweaty’; values higher than 2 refer to intensity close to ‘maximum exertion’
  4. Mean of PA components class answers from values recorded until 2013 and mean ± standard deviation predicted upon 2025