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Table 4 Relative under-5 malaria mortality levels after simultaneous scale-up of CMU and ITNs

From: Impact of malaria interventions on child mortality in endemic African settings: comparison and alignment between LiST and Spectrum-Malaria model

Scale-up scenario LiST Spectrum-Malaria
DRC Zambia DRC Zambia
ITN 77% ownership or 51% usage; Uncomplicated Case Management 10% (i.e. constant coverage scenario of Figs. 1, 2 and 3) 100% 100% 100% 100%
ITN 98% ownership or 70% usage (single intervention) 80% 80% 90% 88%
Uncomplicated Case Management 40% (single intervention) 67% 67% 59% 49%
ITN 98% ownership or 70% usage & Uncomplicated Case Management 40% (two interventions concurrently) 53.8% 53.8% 54.7% 43.8%
Product of Relative mortality levels after ITN scale-up (to 98% ownership or 70% usage) alone, and after scale-up of Uncomplicated Case Management (to 40%) alone 53.9% 53.8% 53.2% 42.8%
  1. The results percentages reflect the mortality level at 2020 in the scale-up scenario, relative to the mortality level at 2020 in the scenario with coverages held constant at 2015 levels. Each coverage scale-up was implemented as an immediate coverage increased from 2015 to 2016, and maintained over 2016–2030. ITN ownership indicates coverage level projected in LiST; ITN usage indicates coverage level projected in Spectrum-Malaria