Fig. 3
From: Stochastic agent-based modeling of tuberculosis in Canadian Indigenous communities
Model calibration. Model-projected (a) cumulative and (b) annual cases of pulmonary TB (median: solid line; minimum/maximum: dashed lines) compared to surveillance data for the Kivalliq region of Nunavut. Results represent the 10 best-fit model realizations, assuming that 5% of respiratory contacts sufficient for transmitting TB occur within the community. Results are similar for 1% and 15% of respiratory contacts in the community